Beta-Delta or Delta-Tau? A Reformulation of Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting

Manag. Sci. Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI:10.1287/mnsc.2022.4453
H. Bleichrodt, Rogier J. D. Potter van Loon, D. Prelec
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Abstract

This paper introduces the index [Formula: see text] as a measure of time inconsistency and vulnerability to self-control problems in the quasi-hyperbolic, beta-delta ([Formula: see text] discounting model. We provide a preference foundation for [Formula: see text] and, consequently, a revealed preference definition of failed self-control. The [Formula: see text] index is independent of utility and has an intuitive interpretation as the maximum number of future selves who can disagree with the current self with respect to uniform deviations from an intertemporal plan. The index is also computable for continuous discount functions after an appropriate mapping of functions onto the ([Formula: see text] family. The [Formula: see text] index thus provides a common yardstick for comparing temporal inconsistency across different functional forms. This paper was accepted by Manel Baucells, behavioral economics and decision analysis.
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还是tau ?拟双曲折现的一个重新表述
本文引入指数[公式:见文本]作为准双曲,β - δ(公式:见文本)贴现模型中时间不一致性和自我控制问题脆弱性的度量。我们为[公式:见文本]提供了一个偏好基础,因此,揭示了自我控制失败的偏好定义。[公式:见文本]指数独立于效用,直观的解释是未来自我的最大数量,这些未来自我可以不同意当前自我对跨期计划的统一偏差。在适当地将函数映射到([公式:见文本]族之后,对于连续折扣函数,索引也是可计算的。因此,[公式:见文本]索引为比较不同函数形式的时间不一致性提供了一个通用标准。这篇论文被Manel Baucells,行为经济学和决策分析所接受。
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