The effect of small-scale changes in wealth on risk attitudes: an experimental study

Sergio Almeida
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Abstract

PurposeThis study aims to examine the effects of prior small-scale changes to wealth on subsequent risky choices.Design/methodology/approachThe paper opted for a laboratory experiment in which subjects perform two sequences of risky tasks. In between these two sets, the author transfers money for real for a randomly selected half of the subjects. Data on choices before and after the transfer of money are used to estimate risk attitudes and analyze whether the transfer of money affected attitudes to risk.FindingsThe author finds that the money gain does not change subjects' risk preferences – neither in a within- nor in a between-subject design. This suggests that individuals' risky choices are consistent with their constant absolute (CARA) risk aversion preferences, a result that supports a key assumption in recent literature on the calibration critique of decision theories and the view that individuals engage in narrow framing.Research limitations/implicationsBecause of the relatively small transfer of money, the research results may lack generalizability.Practical implicationsThe paper includes implications for the reference-dependent and other theories that explain how prior outcomes affect risk-taking behavior in sequential problems.Social implications The results are relevant to the research community studying risk-taking behavior as the results shed new light on a well-known result put forward by a seminal paper by Thaler.Originality/valueThis paper fills in an identified gap in the literature which is the need to test the house-money effect in a more realistic setting (over repeated risk-elicitation tasks, with money given outside the lotteries and in a within-subject design).
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财富的小规模变化对风险态度的影响:一项实验研究
目的:本研究旨在考察先前的小规模财富变化对随后的风险选择的影响。设计/方法/方法本文选择了一个实验室实验,在这个实验中,受试者执行两组有风险的任务。在这两组之间,作者为随机选择的一半受试者转账。资金转移前后的选择数据用于估计风险态度,并分析资金转移是否影响对风险的态度。研究结果作者发现,金钱收益不会改变受试者的风险偏好——无论是在受试者内部还是在受试者之间的设计中。这表明个体的风险选择与他们的恒定绝对(CARA)风险厌恶偏好是一致的,这一结果支持了最近关于决策理论校准批评的文献中的一个关键假设,以及个体参与窄框架的观点。研究局限性/意义由于资金转移相对较小,研究结果可能缺乏普遍性。实际意义本文包括对参考依赖理论和其他理论的启示,这些理论解释了先前结果如何影响序列问题中的冒险行为。这些结果与研究冒险行为的研究界有关,因为这些结果为塞勒在一篇开创性论文中提出的一个众所周知的结果提供了新的视角。原创性/价值本文填补了文献中的空白,即需要在更现实的环境中测试房屋资金效应(在重复的风险引出任务中,在彩票之外和在主题内设计中提供资金)。
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