THE NEXUS BETWEEN INVESTMENT AND INTEREST RATE: NEW DIMENSIONS FOR PAKISTAN

Nooreen Mujahid, M. Noman
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The nexus between investment and interest rate is always considered essential to analyze the economic activity as these variables are important economic indicators in defining macroeconomic activity. However, the unchanged condition of investment in Pakistan has raised the cost of investment and crates uncertainty in investors. The paper investigates the link between rate of interest and investment to incorporate a new dimension of call money rate that may enhance the investment opportunities in Pakistan, employing time series analysis for the time span of 1973 - 2015. The ARDL Bound Testing Approach and ECM are employed to capture both the long and short-run dynamics of the variables in the model. The results of the study indicate that the call money rate has significant effect on investment and thus on economic growth. Therefore, the preparation and implementation of financial policies may increase the investmentfriendly rate of interest to stimulate economic growth in Pakistan.
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投资和利率之间的关系:巴基斯坦的新维度
投资和利率之间的关系一直被认为是分析经济活动必不可少的,因为这些变量是定义宏观经济活动的重要经济指标。然而,巴基斯坦的投资条件不变,提高了投资成本,给投资者带来了不确定性。本文采用1973 - 2015年的时间序列分析,研究了利率与投资之间的联系,以纳入可能增加巴基斯坦投资机会的活期货币利率的新维度。采用ARDL约束测试方法和ECM来捕获模型中变量的长期和短期动态。研究结果表明,隔夜拆借利率对投资有显著影响,进而对经济增长有显著影响。因此,制定和实施有利于投资的金融政策可能会提高巴基斯坦的利率,从而刺激经济增长。
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