A Housing Price Prediction Method Based on Stacking Ensemble Learning Optimization Method

IF 3.7 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS Journal of Cloud Computing-Advances Systems and Applications Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI:10.1109/CSCloud-EdgeCom58631.2023.00025
Zhenyu Yang, Xinghui Zhu, Yangcong Zhang, Peng Nie, Xinbo Liu
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Abstract

The growth of real estate sector has been significantly influenced in recent years by ongoing regulation of real estate acquisition policy and the effects of the COVID-19 epidemic on economy. The fluctuation in housing prices is one of the most concerning factors for prospective homeowners. Whether property prices can sustain a comparatively constant level for an extended period of time is a crucial factor for prospective homeowners. Numerous modeling and application techniques for prediction algorithms, together with the promotion of machine learning algorithms, offer fresh approaches to forecast residential real estate values. This work proposes a novel stacking ensemble learning method (DStacking) which is based on the diversity of learners including XGBoost and BP neural network. Through the application of ensemble learning algorithm, D-Stacking method can successfully predict the possible promotion of housing price. Housing price datasets from China and the USA were used in the experiments to guarantee the generalizability of findings. Experimental findings indicate that the diversity of base learners significantly affects the predictive power of D-Stacking method. Furthermore, the more diverse the models are, the more precise the predictions can be with proposed D-Stacking method. Compared with classical Stacking ensemble learning models, the proposed D-Stacking method demonstrates an excellent feasibility in reducing the RMSE to 0.869 and 1.029 across various datasets.
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基于叠加集成学习优化方法的房价预测方法
近年来,房地产行业的增长受到房地产收购政策持续调控和新冠肺炎疫情对经济的影响的显著影响。房价的波动是潜在房主最关心的因素之一。房价能否在较长一段时间内保持一个相对稳定的水平,对未来的房主来说是一个关键因素。预测算法的众多建模和应用技术,以及机器学习算法的推广,为预测住宅房地产价值提供了新的方法。本文提出了一种新的基于学习器多样性的叠加集成学习方法(DStacking),包括XGBoost和BP神经网络。通过集成学习算法的应用,D-Stacking方法可以成功预测房价可能的上涨。为了保证研究结果的通用性,实验中使用了中国和美国的房价数据集。实验结果表明,基学习器的多样性显著影响D-Stacking方法的预测能力。此外,模型越多样化,所提出的D-Stacking方法的预测精度越高。与经典的堆叠集成学习模型相比,所提出的D-Stacking方法在不同数据集上将RMSE分别降低到0.869和1.029,具有良好的可行性。
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来源期刊
Journal of Cloud Computing-Advances Systems and Applications
Journal of Cloud Computing-Advances Systems and Applications Computer Science-Computer Networks and Communications
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
7.50%
发文量
76
审稿时长
75 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Cloud Computing: Advances, Systems and Applications (JoCCASA) will publish research articles on all aspects of Cloud Computing. Principally, articles will address topics that are core to Cloud Computing, focusing on the Cloud applications, the Cloud systems, and the advances that will lead to the Clouds of the future. Comprehensive review and survey articles that offer up new insights, and lay the foundations for further exploratory and experimental work, are also relevant.
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