Attitude of Pakistan’s individual investor towards risk during bull and bear markets

K. Najaf, Shumraiz Ashraf
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Abstract

The prime objectives of this study is to analysis the individual behavior in both bull and bear markets of paksitan. In this paper, we have examined the preferences, attitude towards risk and varying market condition. We have taken the data of 100 companies from various sectors. For this purpose the data of four years have been collected. Empirical evidences have shown that we have used the abnormal returns, volatility and systematic risk for the purpose of measure of risk. Due to various behavior biases, the overall individual behaviors are the different. This study is showing that bull and bear behaviors are associated with the Book to market valuation .we are also trying to show that overconfidence has impact on the investment decision. The objectives of this study are 1) to analyze the individuals behavior in the different market condition.2) In the Bull and Bear market individuals towards risk.3) impact of overconfidence on the different market situation. This study is the related to bull and bear market of Pakistan. It is limited till four years. In 2007 Karachi stock exchange was high growth it was reached till 14075.84 and with annual return of 33.54%. There have observed the significant effect of overconfidence on the risk attitudes. Our studies have taken the stock market of Karachi. Our study is showing very clearly that investor’s behaviors are different in both markets. In this study level of the ownership is taken dependent variable and independent are the no of outstanding shares, EPS, abnormal returns; we have measured the volatility through sigma.
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巴基斯坦个人投资者在牛市和熊市中对风险的态度
本研究的主要目的是分析巴基斯坦牛市和熊市中的个人行为。在本文中,我们研究了偏好,对风险的态度和变化的市场条件。我们选取了各行各业100家公司的数据。为此目的,收集了四年的数据。实证表明,我们使用了异常收益、波动率和系统风险来衡量风险。由于各种行为偏差,个体的整体行为是不同的。这项研究表明,牛市和熊市行为与账面市值有关。我们也试图表明过度自信对投资决策有影响。本研究的目的是1)分析个人在不同市场条件下的行为。2)在牛市和熊市中,个人对风险的态度。3)过度自信对不同市场情况的影响。本研究与巴基斯坦的牛市和熊市有关。它限定到四年。2007年卡拉奇证券交易所高增长,达到14075.84年,年回报率为33.54%。研究发现,过度自信对风险态度有显著影响。我们的研究以卡拉奇的股票市场为例。我们的研究非常清楚地表明,两个市场的投资者行为是不同的。在本研究中,股权水平取因变量,自变量为流通股数量、每股收益、异常收益;我们通过测量波动性。
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