Extreme events in nature: A challenge for the understanding of complex dynamics

H. Kantz
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Abstract

The occurrence of extreme events in complex systems is not just a statistical issue but also a dynamical one. The dynamics which is responsible for the normal fluctuations exhibited by a system must also be capable of generating extreme excursions. Such a dynamical point of view offers new approaches towards understanding and prediction of the occurrence of extreme events.
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自然界中的极端事件:对复杂动力学理解的挑战
复杂系统中极端事件的发生不仅是一个统计问题,也是一个动力学问题。造成系统正常波动的动力学也必须能够产生极端的漂移。这种动态的观点为理解和预测极端事件的发生提供了新的途径。
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