Analiza troškova i koristi izgradnje autoceste A1

Nataša Rupčić, Tomislav Gašparović
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Abstract

Decision-making in public companies does not take place solely based on profitability criteria, but it concerns the merging of market and public criteria. However, despite the diversity of objectives that public sector projects need to meet, and the fact that decisions are made through the process of political negotiation between stakeholders, the basis for making decisions ought to be an analysis of costs and benefits. Thus, it should include all benefits, both material and immaterial, direct and indirect. Yet, one should bear in mind that the project should be cost-effective, both in the construction phase and at the stage of use and maintenance. This paper analyses decisions made in the HAC (Croatian Highways) public company with an emphasis on management decisions when building the A1 motorway. During the construction of this highway, the objectives were to connect the state territory, connect with the European highway network, develop tourism and increase traffic safety. These objectives have been achieved. However, the desired goals of increasing development, specifically the economic development of rural and less-populated areas, and the retention and increase of the population have not been achieved. The project commercial goals have also not been realized. The costs of building Bosiljevo-Split highway section exceeded the planned costs by 3 billion Croatian kuna. The revenues from 2015 to 2017 were on average 500 million Croatian kuna less than projected. Based on these data, the question is whether the A1 motorway should have been built via a loan or through a public-private partnership. Given projection errors, it can be assumed that a model of public-private partnership would have implied a more realistic assessment of traffic dynamics, lower cost of construction, better revenue management, and probably more gradual construction.
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上市公司的决策并不仅仅基于盈利标准,而是涉及市场和公众标准的融合。然而,尽管公共部门项目需要满足的目标多种多样,而且决策是通过利益相关者之间的政治谈判过程做出的,但决策的基础应该是对成本和收益的分析。因此,它应该包括所有的利益,物质的和非物质的,直接的和间接的。然而,人们应该记住,项目应该具有成本效益,无论是在施工阶段还是在使用和维护阶段。本文分析了克罗地亚高速公路上市公司在建设A1高速公路时的决策,重点分析了管理决策。在这条高速公路的建设过程中,目标是连接国家领土,连接欧洲公路网,发展旅游业和提高交通安全。这些目标已经实现。然而,增加发展的预期目标,特别是农村和人口较少地区的经济发展,以及人口的保留和增加并没有实现。该项目的商业目标也没有实现。修建博西利耶沃-斯普利特高速公路路段的费用比计划费用多了30亿克罗地亚库纳。2015年至2017年的收入比预期平均少5亿克罗地亚库纳。根据这些数据,问题是A1高速公路应该通过贷款还是通过公私合作伙伴关系建设。考虑到预测错误,可以假设公私合作模式意味着对交通动态的更现实的评估,更低的建设成本,更好的收入管理,可能更渐进的建设。
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审稿时长
20 weeks
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