The effect of natural disasters on the timber market

Q4 Agricultural and Biological Sciences USDA Forest Service - Research Papers PNW-RP Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI:10.1515/frp-2017-0031
Adam Sikora
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Abstract The aim of the study was to determine the impact an increased wood supply from the Beskid forests after natural disasters on the timber economy of the Węgierska Górka Forest District and its surroundings in the years 2004–2010. The analysis was based on the wood raw material sales recorded in the database of the State Forestry Information System (SILP). Information on the buyers'location and their main use for the raw material were obtained through the Central Statistical Office. Furthermore, wood material buyers were classified according to the Polish Classification of Activities (PCA) based on the year 2007, using only a subjective analysis designed for enterprises and other economic units in the national economy. Changes in sales of wood material to the selected buyer groups were investigated using statistical analyses of linear trends. A Pearson's correlation analysis verified the relationships between the buyer groups and the supply of timber assortments by the Węgierska Górka Forest District. Other studies have also shown that an increased supply of raw material in the context of natural disasters affects the types of wood buyers and their location. In addition, they have shown an increase in interest towards the purchase of raw materials among buyers engaged in the wholesale trade of wood and other non-wood producers which in turn decrease the share purchased by sawmills.
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自然灾害对木材市场的影响
本研究的目的是确定自然灾害后贝斯基德森林木材供应增加对Węgierska Górka林区及其周边地区木材经济的影响。分析基于国家林业信息系统(SILP)数据库中记录的木材原料销售。有关买家的地点及其主要原料用途的资料是通过中央统计处取得的。此外,根据2007年波兰活动分类(PCA)对木材材料买家进行分类,仅使用针对企业和国民经济中其他经济单位的主观分析。使用线性趋势的统计分析调查了向选定买方群体销售木材材料的变化。皮尔逊相关分析验证了买方群体与Węgierska Górka林区木材品种供应之间的关系。其他研究也表明,在发生自然灾害的情况下,原材料供应的增加会影响木材购买者的类型及其地点。此外,从事木材批发贸易和其他非木材生产商的买家对购买原材料的兴趣有所增加,这反过来又减少了锯木厂购买的份额。
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来源期刊
USDA Forest Service - Research Papers PNW-RP
USDA Forest Service - Research Papers PNW-RP Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Forestry
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