Effects of the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: Error Correction Mechanism

Kolawole Ebire, O. L. Onmonya, V. Inim
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

To attract more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows is the important institutional policies of the most of nations all over the world. Identifying the key determinants of FDI inflows is therefore seen as an important task for policy makers. This study, therefore, investigates the major determinants of FDI in Nigeria spanning from 1986 - 2017. The secondary source of data was used for the study which was first subjected to stationarity test using Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips Perron test. Findings showed that all variables were found to be integrated order one. Cointegration analysis showed that there exists a long run relationship among the variables. Based on this findings, Error Correction Mechanism was used in testing the hypotheses. The result showed that exchange rate, GDP, first lag of GDP, military expenditure, first lag of military expenditure, political stability and financial development are the major determinants of FDI inflows to Nigeria. The empirical findings of this study show that government at all levels should tackle the menace of insecurity ravaging the economy and portraying the country as insecure thereby creating a secure environment for FDI inflows. Democratic regimes should be sustained and investment policies should be instituted or improved on, in order to create a friendly environment to attract more FDI inflows.
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尼日利亚外商直接投资决定因素的影响:误差修正机制
吸引更多的外国直接投资(FDI)流入是世界上大多数国家的重要制度政策。因此,确定外国直接投资流入的关键决定因素被视为决策者的一项重要任务。因此,本研究调查了1986年至2017年期间尼日利亚外国直接投资的主要决定因素。本研究采用二级数据来源,首先采用增强型Dickey-Fuller检验和Phillips Perron检验进行平稳性检验。结果表明,所有变量均为1阶积分。协整分析表明,各变量之间存在着长期的关系。基于这一发现,错误修正机制被用于检验假设。结果表明,汇率、GDP、GDP第一滞后、军费、军费第一滞后、政治稳定和金融发展是尼日利亚FDI流入的主要决定因素。本研究的实证结果表明,各级政府应解决破坏经济的不安全威胁,并将国家描绘成不安全的国家,从而为外国直接投资流入创造一个安全的环境。应该维持民主制度,制定或改进投资政策,以便创造一个友好的环境,吸引更多的外国直接投资流入。
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