A new minification integer-valued autoregressive process driven by explanatory variables

IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-12-28 DOI:10.1111/anzs.12379
Lianyong Qian, Fukang Zhu
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

The discrete minification model based on the modified negative binomial operator, as an extension to the continuous minification model, can be used to describe an extreme value after few increasing values. To make this model more practical and flexible, a new minification integer-valued autoregressive process driven by explanatory variables is proposed. Ergodicity of the new process is discussed. The estimators of the unknown parameters are obtained via the conditional least squares and conditional maximum likelihood methods, and the asymptotic properties are also established. A testing procedure for checking existence of the explanatory variables is developed. Some Monte Carlo simulations are given to illustrate the finite-sample performances of the estimators under specification and misspecification and the test, respectively. A real example is applied to illustrate the performance of our model.

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一种新的由解释变量驱动的最小化整数值自回归过程
基于修正负二项式算子的离散最小化模型,作为连续最小化模型的扩展,可以用来描述少量增量后的极值。为了使该模型更加实用和灵活,提出了一种新的由解释变量驱动的最小化整值自回归过程。讨论了新工艺的遍历性。通过条件最小二乘和条件极大似然方法得到了未知参数的估计量,并建立了未知参数的渐近性质。开发了检验解释变量是否存在的检验程序。通过蒙特卡罗仿真分别说明了该估计器在规范和不规范情况下的有限样本性能和测试结果。最后用一个实例说明了该模型的性能。
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来源期刊
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics is an international journal managed jointly by the Statistical Society of Australia and the New Zealand Statistical Association. Its purpose is to report significant and novel contributions in statistics, ranging across articles on statistical theory, methodology, applications and computing. The journal has a particular focus on statistical techniques that can be readily applied to real-world problems, and on application papers with an Australasian emphasis. Outstanding articles submitted to the journal may be selected as Discussion Papers, to be read at a meeting of either the Statistical Society of Australia or the New Zealand Statistical Association. The main body of the journal is divided into three sections. The Theory and Methods Section publishes papers containing original contributions to the theory and methodology of statistics, econometrics and probability, and seeks papers motivated by a real problem and which demonstrate the proposed theory or methodology in that situation. There is a strong preference for papers motivated by, and illustrated with, real data. The Applications Section publishes papers demonstrating applications of statistical techniques to problems faced by users of statistics in the sciences, government and industry. A particular focus is the application of newly developed statistical methodology to real data and the demonstration of better use of established statistical methodology in an area of application. It seeks to aid teachers of statistics by placing statistical methods in context. The Statistical Computing Section publishes papers containing new algorithms, code snippets, or software descriptions (for open source software only) which enhance the field through the application of computing. Preference is given to papers featuring publically available code and/or data, and to those motivated by statistical methods for practical problems.
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