Connectedness of International Stock Market at Major Public Events: Empirical Study via Dynamic Time Warping-Based Network

Kelong Li, Chi Xie, Ying Ouyang, Tingcheng Mo, Z. Zeng
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Abstract

Several public events have drawn renewed attention to the connectedness of the international stock market since the financial crisis of 2008. We investigate systemic and regional connectedness among stock markets around the world at major public events by constructing correlation networks for 46 markets based on the dynamic time-warping method. We find that (i) geographic regionalization is typically observed in the stock market network, in which France is dominant, (ii) Europe has the greatest and the Middle East and Africa the least within-region connectedness, (iii) the correlation network structure is highly integrated and compact at major public events, and global events influence the international stock market more significantly than regional events do, and (iv) the importance of China reaches its peak during the era of Sino-US trade friction, showing that public events have enormous impacts on the countries involved.
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国际股票市场在重大公共事件中的连通性:基于动态时间扭曲网络的实证研究
自2008年金融危机以来,一些公开事件重新引起了人们对国际股市连通性的关注。本文基于动态时间规整方法构建了46个市场的相关网络,研究了全球股市在重大公共事件中的系统性和区域性连通性。我们发现:(1)股票市场网络具有典型的地理区域化特征,其中法国占主导地位;(2)欧洲的区域内连通性最大,中东和非洲的区域内连通性最低;(3)在重大公共事件中,相关网络结构高度整合且紧凑,全球事件对国际股票市场的影响比区域事件更显著。(4)中国的重要性在中美贸易摩擦时期达到顶峰,表明公共事件对相关国家的影响巨大。
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