Bank Liquidity and Exposure to Industry Shocks

José Arias, Oleksandr Talavera, Andriy Tsapin
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Abstract

This paper examines the link between bank liquidity and exposure to industry-level shocks. Using a unique dataset of borrower industry affiliations, we propose a new measure of industry-level shocks calculated at bank-level. First, we construct bank-specific loan portfolio weights for each industry. Then, we apply these weights to two industry-level indices – cost-effectiveness and production – to calculate the bank shock exposure. Our estimates reveal the negative link between bank liquidity and industry shocks. This could be explained by precautionary reasons as large negative industry-level shocks are likely to induce banks to hoard liquid assets. The relationship is also channelized through the lending behavior of banks. The sensitivity of liquidity to bank exposure is higher for more liquid, better capitalized and smaller banks, which might be explained by the capability of displacing funds either for precautionary reasons, or for loan financing.
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银行流动性和对行业冲击的敞口
本文考察了银行流动性与行业层面冲击敞口之间的联系。利用借款人行业关联的独特数据集,我们提出了一种新的衡量银行层面行业冲击的方法。首先,我们为每个行业构建特定于银行的贷款组合权重。然后,我们将这些权重应用于两个行业层面的指数 -成本效益和生产 -来计算银行冲击风险。我们的估计揭示了银行流动性与行业冲击之间的负相关关系。这可以用预防性的原因来解释,因为行业层面的重大负面冲击可能会促使银行囤积流动资产。这种关系也通过银行的借贷行为疏导。对于流动性更强、资本状况更好、规模更小的银行,流动性对银行风险敞口的敏感性更高,这可能是由于出于预防原因或为贷款融资而转移资金的能力所解释的。
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