Multifractal Analysis of the Foreign Exchange Markets Application to MENA Countries

Nabiha Haouas
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Abstract

The present study focus on the multifractal analysis of the exchange rate for Middle East North Africa (MENA) region from January 1999 to May 2017. The purpose of this paper is to examine the behavior of currency markets and to verify the efficiency hypothesis of FOREX market for these countries. We first estimate the scaling function to detect the multifractal character of each series and then the Hölder exponent, using the Generalized Quadratic Variation (GQV) method, as a function of time H(t). We conclude that there's a multifractal character for all these countries with a difference in the degree of persistence of each market.
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中东和北非国家外汇市场应用的多重分形分析
本文研究了1999年1月至2017年5月中东北非地区汇率的多重分形分析。本文的目的是考察货币市场的行为,并验证这些国家外汇市场的效率假设。我们首先估计尺度函数以检测每个序列的多重分形特征,然后使用广义二次变分(GQV)方法将Hölder指数作为时间H(t)的函数。我们得出结论,所有这些国家都存在多重分形特征,每个市场的持续程度不同。
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自引率
0.00%
发文量
7
审稿时长
24 weeks
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