Quarterly GDP Revisions in G-20 Countries: Evidence from the 2008 Financial Crisis

Manik L. Shrestha, Marco A. Marini
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

This paper presents a statistical analysis of revisions in quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) of the Group of Twenty countries (G-20) since 2000. The main objective is to assess whether the reliability of early estimates of quarterly GDP has been weakened from the turmoil of the 2008 financial crisis. The results indicate that larger and more downward revisions were observed during the years 2008 and 2009 than in previous years.
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20国集团季度GDP修正:来自2008年金融危机的证据
本文对二十国集团(g20)自2000年以来的季度国内生产总值(GDP)修正进行了统计分析。其主要目标是评估对季度GDP初步估计的可靠性是否因2008年金融危机的动荡而减弱。结果表明,与往年相比,2008年和2009年观测到更大、更多的向下修正。
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