Study On The Applicability Of Capacity Estimation Methods To Evaluate Multilane Highway Capacity Under Heterogeneous Conditions

U. L. M. A. Uswaththa, H. Pasindu, J. Bandara, D. Jayaratne
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Abstract

Highway capacity is an essential element in highway planning and traffic management. There are a number of methods developed to estimate highway capacity. Most of them focus on identifying the maximum flow or throughput using a traffic speed-flow model. However, it has been found that these capacity estimates are not practical as they cannot be sustained for long, under normal flow conditions. This research mainly focuses on using the breakdown probability approach, in capacity estimation methods which are currently used to estimate the capacity mainly for freeways. Breakdown probability methods such as the Product Limit Method (PLM), the Sustained Flow Index (SFI), the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) method are used to check the applicability of the breakdown probability approach in calculating highway capacity under heterogeneous conditions. These breakdown probability methods were applied for data collected from two multilane highway locations where heterogeneous flow conditions were observed. The capacity values obtained through the breakdown probability approach were compared with the capacity values obtained from the Greenberg model which is the considered conventional method. The breakdown approach resulted in capacity values which are less by an overall range of 7.4% to 30.9% for both locations.
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非均匀条件下多车道公路通行能力评价方法的适用性研究
公路通行能力是公路规划和交通管理的基本要素。估计公路通行能力的方法有很多。它们中的大多数关注于使用交通速度流模型确定最大流量或吞吐量。然而,已经发现这些容量估计是不实际的,因为它们不能在正常流量条件下持续很长时间。本研究主要针对目前主要用于高速公路的通行能力估计方法中的故障概率方法进行研究。采用产品极限法(PLM)、持续流量指数法(SFI)、公路通行能力手册法(HCM)等故障概率方法,检验故障概率法在异质条件下计算公路通行能力的适用性。这些击穿概率方法应用于从两个多车道高速公路位置收集的数据,其中观察到非均匀流条件。将击穿概率法得到的容量值与传统方法格林伯格模型得到的容量值进行了比较。分解方法的结果是,两个地点的容量值总体范围较低7.4%至30.9%。
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