Causes and consequences of depopulation in the municipality of Kuršumlija

M. Vasiljevic, D. Vukoičić, A. Valjarević
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Abstract

The municipality of Kuršumlija is located in the South of Serbia, encompassing the area of 952 km2. According to the census from 2011, it is inhabited by 19,213 people. During the last decades, the municipality is facing the rapid decrease in the number of inhabitants, caused by natural and social factors. The manuscript analyzes the demographic changes reflected in the migration and structure of population in the period after 1948, along with the beginning of the industrial development, to 2011, when the municipality experienced the crash of economy. The analysis established that the municipality of Kuršumlija became emigrational area, especially after the closure of large industrial facilities which were the pillars of development. The young ones and those able for work were forced to leave their hearths, in search for employment and survival. All the settlements of Kuršumlija were included in the negative demographic processes reflected in the constant decrease of population. Big problem was also the intensity of inhabitants’ ageing, and lessening of the percentage of young ones, which points out that the municipality is in the phase of the deepest demographic age. The worrying fact is that the tendency of the population rate decrease in the settlements of Kuršumlija ‘municipality is prolonged.
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Kuršumlija市人口减少的原因和后果
Kuršumlija市位于塞尔维亚南部,面积952平方公里。根据2011年的人口普查,它有19,213人居住。在过去的几十年里,由于自然和社会因素,该市正面临着居民数量迅速减少的问题。本文分析了1948年以后,随着工业发展的开始,到2011年,该市经历了经济崩溃的时期,人口迁移和人口结构所反映的人口变化。分析表明,Kuršumlija市已成为移民地区,特别是在作为发展支柱的大型工业设施关闭之后。年轻人和有工作能力的人被迫离开家园,寻找工作和生存。Kuršumlija的所有住区都被列入消极的人口进程,反映在人口不断减少。另一个大问题是居民老龄化的强度,以及年轻人口比例的下降,这表明该市正处于人口老龄化最严重的阶段。令人担忧的事实是,Kuršumlija直辖市的居民点人口下降趋势将持续下去。
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