Impact of Climate Change on Kinnow Fruit Industry of Pakistan

R. Nawaz, N. Abbasi, I. Hafiz, A. Khalid, T. Ahmad, M. Aftab
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引用次数: 24

Abstract

Citrus fruits are prominent crop of tropical and sub-tropical region which require suitable climate for quality production. Kinnow mandarin is dominant cultivated in the plain of the Punjab, Pakistan. Being a perennial crop, citrus is more vulnerable to changing environmental conditions and both physical and biochemical quality parameters are deteriorated by erratic behavior of weather around the year. The present study was conducted to assess the impact of climate change on citrus industry of Pakistan and selected three main citrus groves of the Punjab province. The selected orchards were uniform in age, vigor and planting geometry by using factorial (RCBD) while survey design was performed to assess impact of climate change on Kinnow fruit industry. Climate change has triggered pest’s infestation, disease incidence and water use and ultimately increased inputs cost. Heat and drought stress and fog was more observed in Vehari and Toba Tek Singh (TTS) and more yield reduction and low quality was recorded in these districts than Sargodha. Processing cost increased and more export risk was seen with market fluctuation in climate change scenario. Increased in input cost, water requirement of plant, reduction in net return and uncertain market were observed. Climate change has directly affected citrus industry and scientific approach requires addressing these challenges.
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气候变化对巴基斯坦金诺果业的影响
柑橘类水果是热带和亚热带地区的重要作物,需要适宜的气候条件才能生产优质产品。金诺柑橘主要种植在巴基斯坦旁遮普平原。作为多年生作物,柑橘更容易受到环境条件变化的影响,其物理和生化品质参数都因全年天气的不稳定行为而恶化。以气候变化对巴基斯坦柑橘产业的影响为研究对象,选取旁遮普省3个主要柑橘园为研究对象。采用因子分析法(RCBD)选取年龄、活力和种植几何形状均匀的果园,并进行调查设计,评估气候变化对金诺果业的影响。气候变化引发了病虫害、疾病发病率和用水,并最终增加了投入成本。Vehari和Toba Tek Singh (TTS)地区较Sargodha地区更容易遭受高温干旱胁迫和雾害,产量下降和质量下降的情况也更多。在气候变化情景下,随着市场波动,加工成本增加,出口风险增大。投入成本增加,工厂需水量增加,净收益减少,市场不确定。气候变化直接影响柑橘产业,科学方法需要应对这些挑战。
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