Uso del índice de precipitación estandarizado para la evaluación de la intensidad de la sequía en la provincia de Holguín

Juan Alejandro Villazón Gómez, Pavel Noris Noris, Roberto Alejandro García Reyes
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Abstract

Droughts are extreme climatic events of great complexity that cause economic losses from their direct and indirect impacts. They can be monitored by using different indices, among which is the standardized precipitation index (SPI). The work was developed with the objective of evaluating the intensity of the drought in the province of Holguin by using the standardized precipitation index. The monthly rainfall records, between 1975 and 2017, of the meteorological stations of La Jíquima, Guaro, Pinares de Mayarí and Velasco were used. The standardized precipitation index was determined for 1, 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months. In the aforementioned weather stations there were nine, seven, three and four significant drought events, respectively. In the localities located in the flat areas, the number of drought events was greater. From august 1999 to march 2003 and from july 2003 to may 2006, drought events occurred in the four drought meteorological stations; manifesting simultaneously between january-october 2000, in the first period mentioned, and from october 2004 to august 2005, in the second. From august 1986 to october 1987 and from july 2014 to july 2017, drought events occurred in one, two or three meteorological stations located in the flat areas of the province.
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利用标准化降水指数评估holguin省的干旱强度
干旱是极其复杂的极端气候事件,其直接和间接影响造成经济损失。可采用不同的指标进行监测,其中有标准化降水指数(SPI)。本研究的目的是利用标准化降水指数对奥尔金省干旱强度进行评估。使用了La Jíquima、Guaro、Pinares de Mayarí和Velasco气象站1975年至2017年的月降雨量记录。分别确定了1、3、6、9、12、24个月的标准化降水指数。上述气象站分别发生了9次、7次、3次和4次重大干旱事件。在位于平原地区的地方,干旱事件的数量更多。1999年8月~ 2003年3月和2003年7月~ 2006年5月,4个干旱气象站均发生了干旱事件;第一个时期为2000年1月至10月,第二个时期为2004年10月至2005年8月。1986年8月至1987年10月和2014年7月至2017年7月,位于全省平原地区的1、2、3个气象站均发生过干旱事件。
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