Output response at the farm level: Maize supply and input demand in Kaduna State, Nigeria

J. Mani, Z. Abdussalam, M. Damisa
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Abstract

The degree of responsiveness of agricultural supply to input either in the short or long-term production decision is crucial in understanding the role of price and non-price factors in increasing supply. This study analysed output supply and input demand of maize production using a farm survey data of 600 randomly selected maize farmers from all agricultural zones in Kaduna State of Nigeria. Data were analysed using a modified Nerlovian model and set of input demand equations. The results showed that in all estimates (yield and hectarage) long run estimates are greater than the short run values and both were inelastic. The elasticity for lagged own price of maize was 0.23% in the short run and 0.17% in the long run were positive, marginal and inelastic. The hectarage elasticity of supply response for maize is 1.04 in the short run and 0.78 in the long run. The result of the input demand equations showed that the coefficients cost of agrochemical and farm size statistically affect seed, fertilizer and labour demand. The study portrayed that the most critical issues in maize supply are the lack of improved production technology, poor capital investment, land unavailability or poor land tenure system and poor policy incentives. The study recommends that, there is a need for State policy on agricultural research and extension, and adequate input price policies. The government is advised to dissolve the agricultural extension service system to local governments. This will allow agricultural extension system to be more location specific.
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农场层面的产出响应:尼日利亚卡杜纳州的玉米供应和投入需求
在短期或长期生产决策中,农业供给对投入的响应程度对于理解价格和非价格因素在增加供给中的作用至关重要。本研究利用对尼日利亚卡杜纳州所有农业区随机选择的600名玉米农民的农场调查数据,分析了玉米生产的产出供给和投入需求。数据分析使用改进的神经网络模型和一组输入需求方程。结果表明,在所有估计值(产量和公顷)中,长期估计值大于短期估计值,两者都是非弹性的。玉米滞后自身价格的短期弹性为0.23%,长期弹性为0.17%,为正弹性、边际弹性和无弹性。玉米供应响应的公顷弹性短期为1.04,长期为0.78。投入需求方程的结果表明,农药成本系数和农场规模对种子、肥料和劳动力需求的影响具有统计学意义。该研究指出,玉米供应中最关键的问题是缺乏改良的生产技术、资本投资不足、土地不可获得或土地权属制度不健全以及政策激励不力。该研究建议,有必要在农业研究和推广方面制定国家政策,并制定适当的投入价格政策。建议政府解散对地方政府的农业推广服务体系。这将使农业推广系统更有针对性。
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