Party Politics, Governors, and Healthcare Expenditures: A Regression Discontinuity Design Approach

Nayan Krishna Joshi
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Abstract

This study examines the impact of the gubernatorial partisanship on the growth of health care expenditures for the panel data set of 50 U.S. states over the 1991 to 2009 period. Using the parametric regression discontinuity design, I find no partisan effect on the growth of state’s per capita real total personal health care expenditures. However, an analysis of the growth rates of the components of the health care expenditures suggests that there is a causal effect of party affiliation of the governors on “prescription drugs" component. These findings are robust to the inclusion of additional covariates in the parametric approach as well to the use of non-parametric regression discontinuity approach.
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政党政治、州长和医疗支出:一个回归不连续设计方法
本研究考察了州长党派关系对1991年至2009年期间美国50个州的医疗保健支出增长的影响。使用参数回归不连续设计,我发现没有党派影响国家的人均实际总个人医疗保健支出的增长。然而,对卫生保健支出组成部分增长率的分析表明,州长所属政党对"处方药"组成部分存在因果关系。这些发现对参数方法中包含额外协变量以及使用非参数回归不连续方法具有鲁棒性。
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