FEATURES OF THEORETICAL AND STATISTICAL MODELING OF COBB–DOUGLAS PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS

I. Skvortsov, M. Kulyk
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Abstract

Traditionally, the analysis of the enterprise activity is carried out with a separate consideration of fixed assets and employees efficiency. But the complex modeling and research of these indicators and these processes are not executed. Therefore, there is a need to implement the transition to of  complex modelling and integrated research in the activity of the enterprise that can be implemented using the methodology of production functions. This is due to the fact that the methodology of production functions is the only classical model that makes it possible to comprehensively review and investigate the production activities of enterprises and industries. The main advantage of this model is that it analyzes the three most important factors of any production process - the value of fixed assets, the number of employees or the costs of labor in man-hours and the output in monetary or physical terms. The purpose of the study is to substantiate theoretical methods for estimation production functions and to establish the causes of disagreements arising between them and statistical models. In the study performed, the following tasks were solved: the necessity of the transition from a separate analysis of the enterprise, when fixed assets and employees are considered separately, to their integrated consideration, that can be implemented using the methodology of production functions are justified; the main shortcomings inherent in statistical models and in particular production functions are established; theoretical methods of substantiation of indicators of the analytical (theoretical) production functions of Cobb-Douglas are applied. A technique is proposed for the theoretical indication of the constituent elements of a production function - elasticity indicators α, β and coefficient A. Next, the Cobb-Douglas analytical production function is determined and investigated. The next and final stage is the analysis of discrepancies that are observed in the analytical and statistical functions. The proposed methodology of modeling and planning for the development of an enterprise, which uses analytical production functions, significantly improves the reliability of decisions made, since it largely eliminates the shortcomings inherent in statistical functions.
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柯布-道格拉斯生产函数的理论和统计建模特点
传统上,对企业活动的分析是单独考虑固定资产和员工效率的。但对这些指标和过程的复杂建模和研究尚未得到执行。因此,有必要在企业活动中实现向复杂建模和综合研究的过渡,这可以使用生产函数的方法来实现。这是因为生产函数的方法论是唯一的经典模型,它使全面审查和调查企业和行业的生产活动成为可能。该模型的主要优点是,它分析了任何生产过程中最重要的三个因素——固定资产的价值、雇员的数量或以工时计算的劳动力成本,以及以货币或实物计算的产出。本研究的目的是证实估计生产函数的理论方法,并确定它们与统计模型之间产生分歧的原因。在进行的研究中,解决了以下任务:从单独分析企业的必要性,当固定资产和员工被分开考虑时,他们的综合考虑,可以使用生产函数的方法来实现是合理的;确定了统计模型,特别是生产函数固有的主要缺点;应用科布-道格拉斯分析(理论)生产函数的指标确证的理论方法。提出了一种理论表示生产函数组成要素的方法——弹性指标α、β和系数A。然后,确定并研究了科布-道格拉斯分析生产函数。下一个也是最后一个阶段是分析在分析和统计函数中观察到的差异。所提出的企业发展建模和规划方法使用分析生产函数,显著提高了决策的可靠性,因为它在很大程度上消除了统计函数固有的缺点。
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期刊介绍: Chemical Engineering of Oil and Gas is a scientific and technical journal supervised by the Southwest Oil and Gas Field Branch of PetroChina Company Limited and sponsored by the Natural Gas Research Institute of the company. The journal focuses on reporting scientific research results, academic papers, standards and technical innovations in the field of chemical and chemical industry of oil and gas industry, and is a comprehensive scientific and technical journal covering oil and gas treatment, processing and its utilisation technologies. It is a comprehensive scientific and technical journal covering oil and gas treatment, processing and utilisation technologies. The columns of the journal include oil and gas treatment, processing and utilisation, new energy and materials, oil and gas field development, analysis, measurement and standardisation, safety and environmental protection, and so on. The aim of the journal is ‘based on Southwest China, facing the whole country and going towards the world’, aiming to serve the innovation of oil and gas development, production and processing technology, with special focus on sour natural gas development, sulfur-containing crude oil processing technology, as well as natural gas purification and processing, oil and gas field corrosion protection, natural gas exploration and development of chemistry and other areas of research and development results. In terms of influence, Chemical Engineering of Oil and Gas is included in many domestic and international databases, including Chinese Core Journals, CSCD Source Journals, ‘Classified Catalogue of High Quality Scientific and Technical Journals in Oil and Gas Industry’, ‘World Journal Clout Index (WJCI) Report of Scientific and Technical Journals’, RCCSE China Core Academic Journals, National Top 100 Journals in Petroleum and Chemical Industry, China Journal Full Text Database, Tsinghua Tongfang CD-ROM Edition and Wanfang Database, China Academic Journal Comprehensive Evaluation Database. Internationally, the journal is included in the American Chemical Abstracts (CA), JST (Japan Science and Technology Agency) database, Ullrich International Periodicals Guide (USA), and EBSCO (USA) full text database.
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