Clinical Features and Predictors for Outcome in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19 Infection from Wuhan, China

Bo Hu, Dawei Wang, Chang Hu, Ming Hu, Fangfang Zhu, Hui Xiang, Beilei Zhao, K. Kashani, Z. Peng
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Abstract

Objective: The information about the critically ill coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was limited and controversy. This study was to analyze the clinical feature and predictors for outcome in critically ill COVID-19. Design: This was a descriptive study from two hospitals. Setting: This study was conducted in intensive care units (ICUs) from university hospitals. Methods: Critically ill COVID-19 patients admitted in ICU from Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University and Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital from January 8 to February 20, 2020, were screened. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Clinical, laboratory data were collected with management strategies and outcomes. Sixty-eight critically ill patients were enrolled. Their median age was 64 (interquartile range, 54–72) years, and 67.65% were male. In this cohort, 44 (65%) patients survived for 28 days. The invasive mechanical ventilator was used in 51 (75%) patients, with 20 of them requiring prone positioning, and 17 switched to extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. The compliance scores of lungs on the day of intubation among survivors were higher than those in nonsurvivors (25.00 [13.50–39.00] vs. 17.00 [12.00–22.00], P = 0.01). The blood interlukin-6 (IL-6) levels at the ICU admission were significantly higher in nonsurvivors compared to survivors (71.27 [51.48–144.15] vs. 18.15 [7.55–68.02] ng/ml, P = 0.025). The heart rates, lung injury scale, and positive end-expiratory pressure were constantly higher for 10 days in nonsurvivors. The frequency of vasopressor uses and neuromuscular blockers was higher in nonsurvivors from day 5 to day 10 (P < 0.05). In the whole cohort, the most common complications were acute respiratory distress syndrome (95.59%), shock (48.53%), arrhythmia (33.82%), acute cardiac injury (33.82%), and acute kidney injury (27.94%). Multivariate analysis indicated that lower lung compliance at the day of intubation and higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) at ICU admission were related to higher mortality (P = 0.02 and 0.05, respectively). Conclusion: COVID-19-related critical illness predominantly affected old individuals and was characterized by severe hypoxemic respiratory failure, often requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation and rescue therapies. High APACHE II scores and low lung compliance indicated poor outcomes.
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武汉地区COVID-19感染危重患者临床特征及预后预测因素
目的:关于2019年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)的信息有限且存在争议。本研究旨在分析危重患者COVID-19的临床特征及预后预测因素。设计:这是一项来自两家医院的描述性研究。环境:本研究在大学医院的重症监护病房(icu)进行。方法:对2020年1月8日至2月20日武汉大学中南医院和武汉市肺科医院ICU收治的COVID-19危重症患者进行筛查。干预措施:没有。测量方法和主要结果:收集临床、实验室数据,并给出处理策略和结果。68名危重患者入组。年龄中位数为64岁(四分位数间54 ~ 72岁),67.65%为男性。在这个队列中,44例(65%)患者存活了28天。51例(75%)患者使用有创机械呼吸机,其中20例需要俯卧位,17例切换为体外膜氧合。存活组插管当日肺顺应性评分高于非存活组(25.00 [13.50-39.00]vs. 17.00 [12.00-22.00], P = 0.01)。ICU入院时,非存活组患者血液中白细胞介素-6 (IL-6)水平明显高于存活组(71.27 [51.48 ~ 144.15]vs. 18.15 [7.55 ~ 68.02] ng/ml, P = 0.025)。非幸存者的心率、肺损伤量表和呼气末正压持续升高10天。从第5天到第10天,非幸存者使用血管加压素和神经肌肉阻滞剂的频率更高(P < 0.05)。在整个队列中,最常见的并发症是急性呼吸窘迫综合征(95.59%)、休克(48.53%)、心律失常(33.82%)、急性心脏损伤(33.82%)和急性肾损伤(27.94%)。多因素分析显示,插管当日肺顺应性较低、入院时急性生理与慢性健康评估ⅱ(APACHEⅱ)较高与死亡率升高相关(P值分别为0.02和0.05)。结论:新型冠状病毒肺炎相关危重疾病以老年人为主,以严重低氧性呼吸衰竭为特征,常需要长时间机械通气和抢救治疗。APACHEⅱ评分高,肺顺应性低,预后较差。
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