Developing a delay risk model for toll road construction project: A conceptual framework

G. A. Pratama, Y. Latief
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Abstract

In the realization of the medium-term development plan in 2014-2019 (RPJMN), toll road construction development was only reached 51 percent. construction projects had complex and dynamic nature, which caused delays, construction risk assessment that considers risk as a system was done before, for example, using techniques such as SD, Fuzzy DEMATEL, STEEP-SD, DEMATEL-ANP, and SD-DEMATEL, but the technique still has some shortcomings. in indonesia, research related to this matter is still rarely done, to address this concern, we propose a conceptual framework that can be used to develop a delay risk model for toll road construction project especially in indonesia. for this purpose, we introduce the system dynamic-fuzzy dematel-anp (sd-fdanp) method. the results of the development of the sd-fdanp method can be used as a guideline that can help achieve behavioral knowledge of delays and the success of risk assessment in toll road infrastructure development projects.
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收费公路建设项目延误风险模型的概念框架
在实现2014-2019年中期发展计划(RPJMN)中,收费公路建设发展仅达到51%。施工项目具有复杂性和动态性,会造成工期的延迟,将风险作为一个系统来进行施工风险评估,如采用SD、Fuzzy DEMATEL、陡-SD、DEMATEL- anp、SD-DEMATEL等技术,但该技术仍存在一些不足。在印度尼西亚,与这一问题相关的研究仍然很少,为了解决这一问题,我们提出了一个概念框架,可用于开发收费公路建设项目的延迟风险模型,特别是在印度尼西亚。为此,我们引入了系统动态模糊dematel-anp (sd-fdanp)方法。sd-fdanp方法的开发结果可以作为指导方针,有助于在收费公路基础设施开发项目中实现延迟行为知识和风险评估的成功。
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