The Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy on Stock Market

IF 0.9 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Quarterly Journal of Finance Pub Date : 2018-08-07 DOI:10.1142/S2010139218500088
Cheng Jiang
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

This paper shows that the effects of expansionary monetary policy on the U.S. stock market are asymmetric across different monetary policy phases and different stock market regimes. A Markov-switching dynamic factor model dates the periods of stock market regimes, and generates a new composite measure for overall stock market movements. A time-varying parameter analysis finds that an expansionary monetary policy such as an increase in monetary aggregates or a decrease in the Federal funds rate has positive impacts on stock returns only during the periods in which they are used as monetary policy targets by the Federal Reserve.
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货币政策对股票市场的非对称效应
本文表明,扩张性货币政策对美国股市的影响在不同的货币政策阶段和不同的股市制度下是不对称的。一个马尔可夫切换动态因子模型确定了股票市场制度的时间,并为整个股票市场运动产生了一个新的综合指标。一项时变参数分析发现,扩张性货币政策,如增加货币总量或降低联邦基金利率,只有在美联储将其作为货币政策目标的时期,才会对股票回报产生积极影响。
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来源期刊
Quarterly Journal of Finance
Quarterly Journal of Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
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0
期刊介绍: The Quarterly Journal of Finance publishes high-quality papers in all areas of finance, including corporate finance, asset pricing, financial econometrics, international finance, macro-finance, behavioral finance, banking and financial intermediation, capital markets, risk management and insurance, derivatives, quantitative finance, corporate governance and compensation, investments and entrepreneurial finance.
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