The Impact of Housing Credit on Personal Bankruptcy

Sumit Agarwal, Changcheng Song
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

We use a linked housing transaction dataset and a personal bankruptcy dataset to study the impact of housing credit on personal bankruptcy in Singapore. Using a difference-in-differences (DD) approach, we find that an increase in housing credit increases the monthly installment by 560-900 Singapore dollar, and increases the likelihood of personal bankruptcy by 0.15-0.22 percentage points for house buyers who have more exposure to the housing credit increase. To investigate the mechanisms, we show that the observed effect is unlikely to be driven by composition and selection of irresponsible buyers. The effect is mainly due to the increasing debt burden.
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住房信贷对个人破产的影响
我们使用关联的住房交易数据集和个人破产数据集来研究新加坡住房信贷对个人破产的影响。使用差异中的差异(DD)方法,我们发现住房信贷的增加使每月分期付款增加560-900新加坡元,并使住房信贷增加的购房者的个人破产可能性增加0.15-0.22个百分点。为了探讨其机制,我们表明所观察到的效应不太可能由不负责任买家的构成和选择驱动。这种影响主要是由于债务负担的增加。
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