GMM Estimation of Continuous-Time Bilinear Processes

A. Bibi, F. Merahi
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Abstract

This paper examines the moments properties in frequency domain of the class of …first order continuous-timebilinear processes (COBL(1,1) for short) with time-varying (resp. time-invariant) coefficients. So, we used theassociated evolutionary (or time-varying) transfer functions to study the structure of second-order of the process and its powers. In particular, for time-invariant case, an expression of the moments of any order are showed and the continuous-time AR (CAR) representation of COBL(1,1) is given as well as some moments properties of special cases. Based on these results we are able to estimate the unknown parameters involved in model via the so-called generalized method of moments (GMM) illustrated by a Monte Carlo study and applied to modelling two foreign exchange rates of Algerian Dinar against U.S-Dollar (USD/DZD) and against the single European currency Euro (EUR/DZD).
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连续双线性过程的GMM估计
本文研究了具有时变(resp)的…一类一阶连续双线性过程(简称COBL(1,1))在频域上的矩量性质。定常系数。因此,我们使用相关的进化(或时变)传递函数来研究过程的二阶结构及其幂。特别地,对于定常情况,给出了任意阶矩的表达式,给出了COBL(1,1)的连续时间AR (CAR)表示以及特殊情况下的一些矩的性质。基于这些结果,我们能够通过所谓的广义矩量方法(GMM)估计模型中涉及的未知参数,该方法由蒙特卡洛研究说明,并应用于阿尔及利亚第纳尔对美元(USD/DZD)和对单一欧洲货币欧元(EUR/DZD)的两种外汇汇率建模。
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