Evaluation of the TRMM Product for Spatio-temporal Characteristics of Precipitation over Nepal (1998-2018)

Kalpana Hamal, Nitesh Khadka, Samresh Rai, B. Joshi, Jagdish Dotel, Lilaram Khadka, Niraj Bag, Shravan Kumar Ghimire, D. Shrestha
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Precipitation is a fundamental component of the water cycle and integral to the society and the ecosystem. Further, continuous monitoring of precipitation is essential for predicting severe weather, monitoring droughts, and high-intensity related extremes. The present study evaluated the spatio-temporal distribution of precipitation and trends between 1998– 2018 using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) (3B43-V7) with reference to 142-gauge observations over Nepal. TRMM moderately captured precipitation patterns' overall characteristics, although underestimated the mean annual precipitation during the study period. TRMM precipitation product well captured the seasonal variation of the observed precipitation with the highest correlation in the winter season. The decreasing seasonal and annual trend was found in both observed and TRMM products, with the highest (lowest) decreasing trend observed during the monsoon (winter) season. It was also noted that the TRMM product showed a smaller bias before 2007, while a large error was found after 2007, especially in the monsoon months. In general, the TRMM product is a good alternative to observe rain gauge measurement in Nepal. However, there is still space for further improvement in rainfall retrieval algorithms, especially in high-elevation areas during the winter season.
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TRMM产品对尼泊尔降水时空特征的评价(1998-2018)
降水是水循环的基本组成部分,是社会和生态系统的组成部分。此外,连续监测降水对于预测恶劣天气、监测干旱和与高强度极端事件至关重要。本研究利用热带降雨测量任务(TRMM) (3B43-V7),参考尼泊尔142个观测点,评估了1998 - 2018年降水的时空分布和趋势。TRMM适度地捕捉了降水模式的总体特征,但低估了研究期间的年平均降水量。TRMM降水产品较好地反映了观测降水的季节变化,冬季相关性最高。观测产品和TRMM产品均呈季节和年递减趋势,其中季风(冬季)下降趋势最大(最低)。在2007年之前,TRMM产品的偏差较小,而在2007年之后,误差较大,特别是在季风月份。一般来说,TRMM产品是尼泊尔观测雨量计测量的一个很好的选择。然而,降雨检索算法仍有进一步改进的空间,特别是在冬季高海拔地区。
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