Impacts of Trade Liberalization in the Least Developed Countries: Evidence From Lao PDR

IF 2.5 4区 经济学 Q2 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Developing Economies Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI:10.1111/deve.12374
Phouphet Kyophilavong, Kazunobu Hayakawa
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Abstract

This study empirically investigates the effects of tariff reductions in a least developed country on its economy. Specifically, we focus on tariff reductions based on the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) in Laos. First, we analyze how the reduction of AFTA tariff rates in Laos affects Laos's imports from AFTA member countries. Our main finding is that the reduction of AFTA tariffs in Laos does not significantly change Laos's imports. Second, we investigate their effects on plant-level employment. Consistent with the observation of a negligible change in Laos's imports, we find no significant changes in plant-level employment. In short, although Laos decreased its tariff rates against other AFTA members, imports from them did not significantly increase, and no significant changes occurred in employment. We discuss several possible reasons for these insignificant effects.

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最不发达国家贸易自由化的影响:老挝人民民主共和国的证据
本研究通过实证研究探讨了最不发达国家降低关税对其经济的影响。具体而言,我们重点关注老挝在东盟自由贸易区(AFTA)基础上的关税削减。首先,我们分析了老挝降低 AFTA 关税税率对老挝从 AFTA 成员国进口的影响。我们的主要发现是,降低老挝的《东盟自由贸易协定》关税并未显著改变老挝的进口。其次,我们研究了关税对工厂就业的影响。与老挝进口变化微乎其微的观察结果一致,我们发现工厂层面的就业也没有发生重大变化。简而言之,虽然老挝降低了对《东盟自由贸易协定》其他成员国的关税税率,但从这些国家的进口并没有显著增加,就业也没有发生重大变化。我们讨论了这些影响不明显的几个可能原因。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
9.10%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: The Developing Economies is the official journal of the Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO, and publishes original research articles dealing with empirical and comparative studies on social sciences relating to the developing countries.
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