Cost estimation and management over the life cycle of metallurgical research projects

M. M. Odendaal, F. Vermaak, E. D. Toit
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This study investigates whether all expected costs over the life cycle of metallurgical research projects are included in initial, normal and final cost estimates, and whether these costs are managed throughout a project’s life cycle since there is not enough emphasis on the accurate estimation of costs and their management over the life cycle of metallurgical research projects. The study also determines during which phase of the life cycle of metallurgical research projects’ costs are normally determined, during which phase most of the costs are incurred, and during which phase costs are managed. Project life cycles, techniques of cost estimation and cost management are examined. 10A survey was used to gather information by means of face-to-face and telephonic interviews, as well as an electronic questionnaire. The total population of entities in South Africa that conduct metallurgical research projects is small, numbering only 12 in all. The ten entities that conducted the largest metallurgical research projects in terms of average size were selected for this study. 11The conclusion drawn from the survey was that all costs over the life cycle of metallurgical research projects are not taken into account in the initial cost estimate of a project. Costs are mainly managed during the growth phase of a project and not during the introduction phase, when 80% of the costs are normally committed. The implication of this is that cost estimates for metallurgical research projects may not be accurate and costs are not necessarily managed properly throughout the life cycle of such projects. This may lead to cost overruns of project budgets, project budgets being depleted before the delivery stage and research sections running at a loss.
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冶金科研项目全生命周期成本估算与管理
本研究调查了冶金研究项目生命周期内的所有预期成本是否包括在初始、正常和最终成本估算中,以及这些成本是否在项目的整个生命周期内得到管理,因为在冶金研究项目生命周期内对成本的准确估计及其管理的重视程度不够。研究还确定了冶金研究项目的成本通常在生命周期的哪个阶段确定,在哪个阶段产生大部分成本,以及在哪个阶段管理成本。项目生命周期,成本估算和成本管理的技术进行了检查。调查采用面对面访谈、电话访谈和电子问卷的方式收集信息。南非从事冶金研究项目的实体总数很少,总共只有12个。选取平均规模最大的10个冶金研究项目进行研究。11调查得出的结论是,在项目的初始成本估算中,没有考虑到冶金研究项目生命周期内的所有成本。成本主要在项目的成长阶段进行管理,而不是在通常承担80%成本的引入阶段。这意味着冶金研究项目的成本估计可能不准确,并且在这些项目的整个生命周期中成本不一定得到适当的管理。这可能导致项目预算的成本超支,项目预算在交付阶段之前就被耗尽,研究部门在亏损。
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