Resuming Business in A COVID Normal Environment

Akindeju Mk
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Abstract

1. Abstract Although pandemics of its scale and geographical coverage are not unprecedented as widely claimed, coronavirus continues to pose novel and complex challenges to governments, businesses, and individuals. Governments had and continue to have obligations to respond speedily with both health and economic policies to prevent irrevocable damages to their respective economies and sovereignties-some more successful than others. The speed at which governments responded meant there had to be incremental knowledge on the virus, hence public health handling methodologies and policies morphed from form to form in the face of balancing economic realities with health imperatives, inadequate supplies of personal protective equipment and manpower. Amongst all these, MKPro Engineering Pty Ltd (‘MKPro’) identified a critical oversight as of May 2020-official advice had not recognised that aerosol mode of transmission was clearly feasible and was of grave danger. In our modelling, we mathematically established that coronavirus, at published mass of 33.8kDa and 1million cells/mL cluster density, is about 22billion times lighter than air, and can be air-borne, hence able to travel as aerosol particles under suitable conditions for at least several meters before the aerosols become considerably dispersed. Upon establishing the above, MKPro articulated and suggested behavioural and Engineering solutions that can help businesses recover and safely contemplate resumption to business in a COVID-Normal environment. 2. Introduction As SARS-CoV-22 (and COVID-19) pandemic gripped the world, the attention of governments and businesses turned to the widespread damages it was and is still causing to public and private economies. While they battled with stabilising economies and contemplated recoveries, the attention of professionals including doctors, scientists, researchers, public health managers and engineers were focused on the deterministic programming for such recoveries. Those attentions and interests did not always align. Although similar pandemics, by scale, occurred in 1918-1920 (Jarus, 2020; US CDC, 2019; WHO, 2019), COVID19 pandemic was hyped as unprecedented giving rise to governments wielding sweeping Emergency and Public Health powers with elements of public health responses demonstrating most governments may not have adequately learnt from prior comparable pandemics. The attending challenges which include diminished cognition (Marshal, 2021) [14,15], Long-COVID (Marshall, 2021), human behavioural social fatigue (Petherick et al., 2021) [19], deteriorating mental health (Hampshire et al., 2021) [8], shortages of personal protective equipment (Koehler et al., 2020) [13], and non-compliance to public health orders (Nivette et al., 2020) [18] were exacerbated by limited knowledge on coronavirus epidemiology, and in particular on whether coronavirus is communicable via aerosol mode and from saliva (Hu et al, 2020) [9]. With a view to advising necessary government agencies and departments on plausible engineering solutions, researchers at MKPro (Akindeju, 2020-a) sought to establish the feasible range of cluster volume at which coronavirus can exist and to determine whether aerosol mode of transmission was not only feasible but also practical.
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新冠正常环境下恢复业务
1. 虽然大流行的规模和地理覆盖范围并不像人们普遍认为的那样是前所未有的,但冠状病毒继续给政府、企业和个人带来新的复杂挑战。各国政府过去和现在都有义务迅速作出反应,制定卫生和经济政策,防止对各自的经济和主权造成不可挽回的损害——有些国家比其他国家更成功。各国政府的反应速度意味着对该病毒的了解必须不断增加,因此,面对经济现实与卫生需求之间的平衡,以及个人防护设备和人力供应不足,公共卫生处理方法和政策不断变化。其中,MKPro Engineering Pty Ltd(“MKPro”)在2020年5月发现了一个关键的疏忽——官方建议没有认识到气溶胶传播方式显然是可行的,并且具有严重的危险。在我们的建模中,我们从数学上确定,冠状病毒的公布质量为33.8kDa,簇密度为100万个细胞/毫升,比空气轻220亿倍,可以通过空气传播,因此能够在合适的条件下以气溶胶颗粒的形式传播至少几米,然后气溶胶才会变得相当分散。在建立上述基础上,MKPro阐述并建议了行为和工程解决方案,可以帮助企业恢复并安全地考虑在COVID-Normal环境中恢复业务。2. 随着新冠肺炎(SARS-CoV-22)和新冠肺炎(COVID-19)大流行席卷全球,政府和企业的注意力转向了它过去和现在仍在给公共和私营经济造成的广泛损害。当他们努力稳定经济和考虑复苏时,包括医生、科学家、研究人员、公共卫生管理人员和工程师在内的专业人员的注意力集中在这种复苏的确定性规划上。这些关注和兴趣并不总是一致的。虽然类似的大流行在1918-1920年发生过(Jarus, 2020年;美国疾病预防控制中心,2019;世卫组织,2019年),covid - 19大流行被炒作为前所未有的,导致政府拥有全面的紧急情况和公共卫生权力,而公共卫生应对措施的要素表明,大多数政府可能没有从以前类似的大流行中充分吸取教训。认知能力下降(Marshal, 2021)[14,15]、Long-COVID (Marshall, 2021)、人类行为社交疲劳(Petherick等人,2021)[19]、心理健康恶化(Hampshire等人,2021)[8]、个人防护装备短缺(Koehler等人,2020)[13]、不遵守公共卫生命令(Nivette等人,2020)[18]等挑战因对冠状病毒流行病学的了解有限而加剧。特别是关于冠状病毒是否通过气溶胶模式和唾液传播(Hu et al ., 2020)[9]。为了就合理的工程解决方案向必要的政府机构和部门提供建议,MKPro (Akindeju, 2020-a)的研究人员试图确定冠状病毒可能存在的集群容量的可行范围,并确定气溶胶传播模式是否不仅可行而且实用。
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