China’s Infrastructure Investment to the Belt and Road: The Case of the China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor

Yuwen Dai
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Abstract Inspired by China’s historical role as a central hub in the Silk Road, the Chinese government officially launched the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013. The BRI aims at deepening regional economic cooperation on a transcontinental scale and investing in infrastructure that promotes regional connectivity over land and sea. In recent years, China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) has increased tremendously. Empirical evidence suggests that Chinese OFDI is about 40 percent higher in BRI countries than non-BRI countries. Under the BRI framework, China is currently a global leader in the construction of transportation infrastructure. In this paper, we examine the case of the China-Indochina Peninsula Economic Corridor (CIPEC) and investigate the macroeconomic implication of the BRI by conducting empirical study on Chinese OFDI to the CIPEC, analyzing China’s infrastructure investment, and conducting case studies of BRI infrastructure projects in the region. Our findings draw implication for policymakers in BRI nations who intend to attract Chinese infrastructure investment to improve regional connectivity. The lessons learned from these BRI projects highlight the importance of institutional relationship, domestic politics, political stability, and policy uncertainty, which in turn shed light on future infrastructure projects between China and host countries under the BRI framework.
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中国对“一带一路”的基础设施投资:以中国-中南半岛经济走廊为例
受中国作为丝绸之路中心枢纽的历史角色的启发,中国政府于2013年正式发起了“一带一路”倡议。“一带一路”倡议旨在深化跨大陆区域经济合作,投资基础设施建设,促进区域陆海互联互通。近年来,中国对外直接投资(OFDI)大幅增长。经验证据表明,中国在“一带一路”沿线国家的对外直接投资比非“一带一路”沿线国家高出约40%。在“一带一路”框架下,中国目前在交通基础设施建设方面处于全球领先地位。本文以中国-中南半岛经济走廊(CIPEC)为例,通过对中国对该走廊的对外直接投资进行实证研究,分析中国基础设施投资,并对该地区的“一带一路”基础设施项目进行案例研究,探讨“一带一路”的宏观经济影响。我们的研究结果对打算吸引中国基础设施投资以改善区域连通性的“一带一路”国家的政策制定者具有启示意义。从这些“一带一路”项目中吸取的经验教训凸显了制度关系、国内政治、政治稳定和政策不确定性的重要性,这反过来又为未来中国与“一带一路”框架下东道国之间的基础设施项目提供了启示。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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