Spatial scale, backward linkages, and economic multipliers

Barney Warf
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Abstract

Many empirical analyses of economic impacts are complicated by the use of different spatial scales. In the context of economic base theory, backward linkages from an event being studied can extend from the local to the global scale, inducing varying degrees of leakages and hence different estimates of multiplier effects. This article opens with a review of the ways in which scale, linkages, and multipliers are intertwined. Second, it offers a case study using an input–output analysis of the closure of Homestead Air Force Base in Florida to illustrate how the choice of different spatial scales can dramatically alter empirical results. The conclusion discusses criteria that may assist applied geographers in choosing the optimal spatial scale to deploy. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

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空间尺度、后向联系和经济乘数
许多经济影响的实证分析由于使用不同的空间尺度而变得复杂。在经济基础理论的背景下,所研究的事件的反向联系可以从地方范围扩展到全球范围,从而引起不同程度的泄漏,从而导致对乘数效应的不同估计。本文首先回顾了规模、联系和乘数交织在一起的方式。其次,通过对佛罗里达州霍姆斯特德空军基地关闭的投入产出分析,本文提供了一个案例研究,以说明不同空间尺度的选择如何显著改变实证结果。结论部分讨论了可帮助应用地理学家选择最佳空间尺度进行部署的标准。©1998 John Wiley &儿子,Inc。
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