Development of Hesitant Fuzzy-Based Project Selection Method with Consideration of Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks

Karina Ayu Trijana, U. Ciptomulyono
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Abstract

― PT X, a power generation company, hasn’t been able to meet their target in the business development segment over the past few years. This is due to a problem detected in their Project Portfolio Management, in which PT X’s project selection method hasn’t considered the ambiguity nature of project’s information and risks. This study is going to develop a project selection method for PT X using MCDM (multi criteria decision making) with BOCR (benefit, opportunity, cost, risk) Concept to evaluate many criteria that need to be considered by the company, especially conflicting criteria such as benefit with cost and opportunity with risk. Not only that, hesitant fuzzy will be used because project itself has many uncertain or ambiguous information, so stakeholder will face difficulties in determining the value for the evaluation. From the integration of those things in this study, it is found that for PT X, Benefit has the biggest priority, followed by Opportunity, Risk, and Cost in Project Selection for PT X. It is also found that based on additive-BOCR, Project C gives the optimal value for PT X, followed by Project B, Project A, Project D, dan Project E.
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考虑收益、机会、成本和风险的犹豫模糊项目选择方法的发展
- PT X,一家发电公司,在过去的几年里,一直没有能够达到他们在业务发展领域的目标。这是因为在他们的Project Portfolio Management中发现了一个问题,即PT X的项目选择方法没有考虑到项目信息和风险的模糊性。本研究将为PT X开发一种项目选择方法,使用MCDM(多标准决策)和BOCR(效益、机会、成本、风险)概念来评估公司需要考虑的许多标准,特别是利益与成本、机会与风险等相互冲突的标准。不仅如此,由于项目本身有许多不确定或模棱两可的信息,干系人在确定评价价值时会遇到困难,因此会使用犹豫模糊。从本研究的综合来看,项目X的项目选择中,效益优先级最高,其次是机会、风险和成本。基于可加性bocr,项目C给出了项目X的最优值,其次是项目B、项目A、项目D和项目E。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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