Features of Investment Risk Analysis and Assessment

N. Shaislamova
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Abstract

The article examines the essence of the analysis and assessment of the risks of investment projects in the innovative development of the country's economy. One of the most important tasks for investors in the context of the coronavirus crisis is the analysis, assessment and effective management of risks that can affect investment projects before investing. And also, the investor must identify the factors that negatively affect the project and develop measures to reduce their negative impact. Based on the above, it can be said that improving the risk management methodology and evaluating investment projects based on modern and best practices has become one of the urgent tasks. In this article, the author explains the essence of risk management and presents the main stages of risk management developed by foreign and domestic economists, and also expresses her own opinion about the stages of risk management of investment projects in the form of a scheme. The article also presents the content of the methods of risk analysis that are frequently used in practice. In particular, the author shows the essence of methods for assessing investment risks, such as Break-even point, the sensitivity analysis of the project, the method of Scenarios, the method for assessing the sustainability of the project, Expert evaluation method, Analogy method, and others. We can identify two aims of research: 1) to study the stages of investment risk management, developed by foreign and domestic scientists, and, on their basis, to propose the stages of risk management, developed by the author; 2) to study various methods of risk assessment, which are a key part of investment risk management, and develop proposals for their application in Uzbekistan. To achieve the objectives of the study, the following tasks were identified:  explain the content of the economic categories “risk” and “investment risk”;  explain the content of investment risk management;  study of the process (stages) of investment risk management, developed by foreign and domestic economists;  development by the author of the stages of the investment risk management process;  study and outline methods for assessing the risks of investment projects;  development of recommendations on the application of risk assessment methods in Uzbekistan. Subject of research: methods for assessing the risks of investment projects. Information sources for writing the research was books and articles by foreign and domestic economists.
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投资风险分析与评估的特点
本文探讨了投资项目风险分析与评估在国家经济创新发展中的本质。在新冠肺炎疫情背景下,投资者最重要的任务之一是在投资前对可能影响投资项目的风险进行分析、评估和有效管理。此外,投资者必须确定对项目产生负面影响的因素,并制定措施减少其负面影响。综上所述,完善风险管理方法,基于现代和最佳实践对投资项目进行评估已成为当务之急之一。本文阐述了风险管理的本质,介绍了国内外经济学家提出的风险管理的主要阶段,并以方案的形式表达了自己对投资项目风险管理阶段的看法。文章还介绍了实践中常用的风险分析方法的内容。重点介绍了投资风险评估方法的本质,如盈亏平衡点法、项目敏感性分析法、情景法、项目可持续性评估法、专家评价法、类比法等。我们可以确定两个研究目标:1)研究国内外科学家提出的投资风险管理阶段,并在此基础上提出笔者提出的风险管理阶段;2)研究投资风险管理的关键环节——风险评估的各种方法,并提出在乌兹别克斯坦的应用建议。为了实现研究目标,确定了以下任务:·解释经济类别“风险”和“投资风险”的内容;·说明投资风险管理的内容;•研究投资风险管理的过程(阶段),由国内外经济学家发展;•由作者开发投资风险管理流程的各个阶段;研究并概述投资项目风险评估方法;•制定关于在乌兹别克斯坦应用风险评估方法的建议。研究课题:投资项目风险评估方法。撰写本研究的资料来源是国内外经济学家的书籍和文章。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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