{"title":"Multi-Step Vector Output Prediction of Time Series Using EMA LSTM","authors":"Mohammad Diqi, Ahmad Sahal, Farida Nur Aini","doi":"10.15575/join.v8i1.1037","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This research paper proposes a novel method, Exponential Moving Average Long Short-Term Memory (EMA LSTM), for multi-step vector output prediction of time series data using deep learning. The method combines the LSTM with the exponential moving average (EMA) technique to reduce noise in the data and improve the accuracy of prediction. The research compares the performance of EMA LSTM to other commonly used deep learning models, including LSTM, GRU, RNN, and CNN, and evaluates the results using statistical tests. The dataset used in this study contains daily stock market prices for several years, with inputs of 60, 90, and 120 previous days, and predictions for the next 20 and 30 days. The results show that the EMA LSTM method outperforms other models in terms of accuracy, with lower RMSE and MAPE values. This study has important implications for real-world applications, such as stock market forecasting and climate prediction, and highlights the importance of careful preprocessing of the data to improve the performance of deep learning models.","PeriodicalId":32019,"journal":{"name":"JOIN Jurnal Online Informatika","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"JOIN Jurnal Online Informatika","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.15575/join.v8i1.1037","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This research paper proposes a novel method, Exponential Moving Average Long Short-Term Memory (EMA LSTM), for multi-step vector output prediction of time series data using deep learning. The method combines the LSTM with the exponential moving average (EMA) technique to reduce noise in the data and improve the accuracy of prediction. The research compares the performance of EMA LSTM to other commonly used deep learning models, including LSTM, GRU, RNN, and CNN, and evaluates the results using statistical tests. The dataset used in this study contains daily stock market prices for several years, with inputs of 60, 90, and 120 previous days, and predictions for the next 20 and 30 days. The results show that the EMA LSTM method outperforms other models in terms of accuracy, with lower RMSE and MAPE values. This study has important implications for real-world applications, such as stock market forecasting and climate prediction, and highlights the importance of careful preprocessing of the data to improve the performance of deep learning models.