The Effects of Productivity and Demand-Specific Factors on Plant Survival and Ownership Change in the U.S. Poultry Industry

Tengying Weng, T. Vukina, Xiaoyong Zheng
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Abstract

In this paper we study the productivity-survival link in the U.S. poultry processing industry using the longitudinal data constructed from five Censuses of Manufactures between 1987 and 2007. First, we study the effects of physical productivity and demand-specific factors on plant survival and ownership change. Second, we analyze the determinants of the firm-level expansion. The results show that higher demand-specific factors decrease the probability of exit and increase the probability of ownership change. The effect of physical productivity on the probability of exit or ownership change is generally insignificant. Also, firms with higher demand-specific factors have higher probability to expand whereas the average firm-level physical productivity turns out to be an insignificant determinant of firm expansion.
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生产力和特定需求因素对美国家禽业植物存活率和所有权变化的影响
在本文中,我们利用1987年至2007年间五次制造业普查的纵向数据研究了美国家禽加工业的生产率与生存之间的联系。首先,我们研究了物质生产力和特定需求因子对植物生存和所有权变化的影响。其次,我们分析了企业层面扩张的决定因素。结果表明,较高的需求特异性因素降低了企业退出的概率,增加了企业所有权变更的概率。物质生产力对退出或所有权变更的可能性的影响通常是微不足道的。此外,具有更高需求特定因素的企业具有更高的扩张概率,而平均企业水平的实际生产率被证明是企业扩张的一个不显著的决定因素。
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