Necessary and Sufficient Conditions for Determinacy of Asymptotically Stationary Equilibria in OLG Models

A. Gorokhovsky, A. Rubinchik
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Abstract

We propose a criterion for determining whether a local policy analysis can be made in a given equilibrium in an overlapping generations model. The criterion can be applied to models with infinite past and future as well as those with a truncated past. The equilibrium is not necessarily a steady state; for example, demographic and type composition of the population or individuals’ endowments can change over time. However, asymptotically, the equilibrium should be stationary. The two limiting stationary paths at either end of the timeline do not have to be the same. If they are, conditions for local uniqueness are far more stringent for an economy with a truncated past as compared to its counterpart with an infinite past. In addition, we illustrate our main result using a textbook model with a single physical good, a two-period life-cycle and a single type of consumer. In this model we show how to calculate a response to a policy change using the implicit function theorem.
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OLG模型渐近平稳平衡点确定性的充分必要条件
我们提出了一个标准,用于确定在重叠代模型的给定均衡中是否可以进行局部政策分析。该准则可以应用于具有无限过去和未来的模型以及具有截断过去的模型。平衡不一定是稳定状态;例如,人口统计和人口类型构成或个人禀赋可以随时间变化。然而,渐近地,平衡应该是平稳的。在时间轴两端的两个极限静止路径不必相同。如果是这样的话,对于一个过去被截断的经济体来说,本地独特性的条件要比过去被无限截断的经济体严格得多。此外,我们使用具有单一实物商品、两期生命周期和单一类型消费者的教科书模型来说明我们的主要结果。在这个模型中,我们展示了如何使用隐函数定理来计算对策略变化的响应。
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