Is the Value Premium Smaller Than We Thought?

Mathias Hasler
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The construction of the original HML portfolio (Fama and French, 1993) includes six seemingly innocuous decisions that could easily have been replaced with alternatives that are just as reasonable. I propose such alternatives and construct HML portfolios. In sample, the average estimate of the value premium is dramatically smaller than the original estimate of the value premium. The difference is 0.09% per month and statistically significant. Out of sample, however, this difference is statistically indistinguishable from zero. The results suggest that the original value premium estimate is upward biased because of a chance result in the original research decisions.
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价值溢价比我们想象的要小吗?
原始html组合的构建(Fama和French, 1993)包括六个看似无害的决策,这些决策可以很容易地被同样合理的替代方案所取代。我提出了这样的替代方案,并构建了html组合。在样本中,价值溢价的平均估计值显著小于价值溢价的原始估计值。差异为每月0.09%,具有统计学意义。然而,在样本之外,这种差异在统计上与零难以区分。结果表明,由于原始研究决策中的偶然结果,原始价值溢价估计是向上偏倚的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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