Engineering Critical Assessment (ECA) of Onshore Natural Gas Pipelines Using Partial Safety Factors (PSFs)

Gurumurthy Kagita, Penchala S. K. Pottem, Deepak Gupta, Gudimella G. S. Achary, Subramanyam V. R. Sripada
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Abstract

Pipeline design codes recognize the potential risks posed by gas pipelines by relating the factors which affect the probability of failure to consequences in particular locations. To maintain more or less uniform risk level, ASME B31.8 Code adopted risk based concepts indirectly through location classifications by specifying different design factors (DFs). Engineering Critical Assessment (ECA) of onshore natural gas pipelines in accordance with pipeline-specific methods such as API 1104 allow much deeper defects in higher class pipe, which is in contrary to the basic design concept. This is due to the lack of consideration for the higher consequences in the higher classes even though they were considered at the design stage. To ensure the failure probability within a target value, generic fitness for service standards such as API 579-1/ASME FFS-1 and BS 7910 recommend partial safety factors (PSFs) to key variables. However, there is no correlation between the design factors used during the pipeline design stage and the PSFs used for the ECA. To achieve the basic intent of design code i.e., to maintain risk level as per location classifications, this paper proposes to use PSFs based on class location. Few case studies are presented to demonstrate the proposed methodology.
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基于部分安全系数的陆上天然气管道工程临界评价(ECA)
管道设计规范通过将影响故障概率的因素与特定位置的后果联系起来,识别天然气管道带来的潜在风险。为了保持或多或少统一的风险水平,ASME B31.8规范通过指定不同的设计因素(DFs),间接采用了基于风险的概念。根据API 1104等管道专用方法对陆上天然气管道进行工程关键评价(ECA)时,允许更高等级管道存在更深的缺陷,这与基本设计理念相违背。这是由于缺乏对高级类中的高级结果的考虑,尽管它们在设计阶段就被考虑到了。为了确保故障概率在目标值内,API 579-1/ASME FFS-1和BS 7910等服务标准的通用适用性建议将部分安全系数(psf)用于关键变量。然而,在管道设计阶段使用的设计因素与ECA使用的psf之间没有相关性。为了达到设计规范的基本意图,即按照位置分类保持风险等级,本文建议使用基于类别位置的psf。提出了几个案例研究来证明所提出的方法。
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