Well Completion Optimization in Unconventional Reservoirs Using Machine Learning Methods

S. Baki, C. Temizel, Serkan Dursun
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Abstract

Unconventional reservoirs, mainly shale oil and natural gas, will continue to significantly help meet the ever-growing energy demands of global markets. Being complex in nature and having ultra-tight producing zones, unconventionals depends on effective well completion and stimulation treatments in order to be successful and economical. Within the last decade, thousands of unconventional wells have been drilled, completed and produced in North America. The scope of this work is exploring the primary impact of completion parameters such as lateral length, frac type, number of stages, proppant and fluid volume effect on the production performance of the wells in unconventional fields. The key attributes in completion, stimulation, and production for the wells were considered in machine learning workflow for building predictive models. Predictive models based on Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines or Decision Tree Based ensemble models, serves as mapping function from completion parameters to production in each well in the field. The completion parameters were analyzed in the workflow with respect to feature engineering and interpretation. This analysis resulted in key performance indicators for the region. Then the optimum values for the best production performing completions were identified for each well. Predictive models in the workflow were analyzed in accuracy and best model is used to understand the impact of completion parameters on the production rates. This study outlines an overall machine learning workflow, from feature engineering to interpretation of the machine learning models to quantify the effects of completion parameters on the production rate of the wells in unconventional fields
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利用机器学习方法优化非常规油藏完井
非常规油藏,主要是页岩油和天然气,将继续在很大程度上帮助满足全球市场日益增长的能源需求。非常规油气藏性质复杂,产层超致密,因此要想取得成功和经济效益,必须采取有效的完井和增产措施。在过去的十年里,北美已经钻完、完井和生产了数千口非常规井。这项工作的范围是探索完井参数(如水平段长度、压裂类型、段数、支撑剂和流体体积)对非常规油田油井生产性能的主要影响。在建立预测模型的机器学习工作流程中,考虑了完井、增产和生产的关键属性。基于神经网络、支持向量机或基于决策树的集成模型的预测模型,作为从完井参数到油田每口井产量的映射函数。从特征工程和解释的角度对完井参数进行了分析。这一分析产生了该地区的关键绩效指标。然后为每口井确定最佳生产性能完井的最优值。对工作流程中的预测模型进行了精度分析,并采用最佳模型来了解完井参数对产量的影响。该研究概述了整个机器学习工作流程,从特征工程到机器学习模型的解释,以量化完井参数对非常规油田油井产量的影响
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