Archetypal Analysis of Geophysical Data illustrated by Sea Surface Temperature

A. Black, D. Monselesan, J. Risbey, B. Sloyan, C. Chapman, A. Hannachi, D. Richardson, D. Squire, C. Tozer, Nikolay Trendafilov
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Abstract

The ability to find and recognize patterns in high-dimensional geophysical data is fundamental to climate science and critical for meaningful interpretation of weather and climate processes. Archetypal analysis (AA) is one technique that has recently gained traction in the geophysical science community for its ability to find patterns based on extreme conditions. While traditional empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis can reveal patterns based on data covariance, AA seeks patterns from the points located at the edges of the data distribution. The utility of any objective pattern method depends on the properties of the data to which it is applied and the choices made in implementing the method. Given the relative novelty of the application of AA in geophysics it is important to develop experience in applying the method. We provide an assessment of the method, implementation, sensitivity, and interpretation of AA with respect to geophysical data. As an example for demonstration, we apply AA to a 39-year sea surface temperature (SST) reanalysis data set. We show that the decisions made to implement AA can significantly affect the interpretation of results, but also, in the case of SST, that the analysis is exceptionally robust under both spatial and temporal coarse-graining.
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以海表温度为例的地球物理资料的原型分析
在高维地球物理数据中发现和识别模式的能力是气候科学的基础,对于有意义地解释天气和气候过程至关重要。原型分析(AA)是最近在地球物理科学界获得关注的一种技术,因为它能够发现基于极端条件的模式。传统的经验正交函数(EOF)分析可以根据数据协方差揭示模式,而AA从位于数据分布边缘的点寻找模式。任何客观模式方法的效用取决于应用该方法的数据的属性以及在实现该方法时所做的选择。鉴于AA在地球物理中的应用相对新颖,因此积累应用该方法的经验是很重要的。我们对地球物理数据方面的AA方法、实施、灵敏度和解释进行了评估。作为示例,我们将AA应用于39年的海温(SST)再分析数据集。我们发现,实施AA的决策可以显著影响结果的解释,而且,在海表温度的情况下,分析在空间和时间粗粒度下都非常稳健。
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