Index of Economic Stability and Financial Integration of Small Open Countries

Mirnesa Baraković Nurikić, Senija Musić
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Abstract

Over the recent decades, we have witnessed advanced processes of liberalization of capital flows, and increasing integration and globalization of financial markets. Along with the globalization trend, ever since the end of the 1980s, the process of financial integration has also been taking place, as a consequence of removing barriers to free movement of capital between countries. Therefore, this research explores financial integration of small open countries and aims to make conclusions on how this integration can affect their economic stability. Qualitative definitions of small countries point out that they typically have a limited territory, relatively small population and limited resources. The research hypothesis is postulated as follows: the economic stability index of small open countries is conditioned by their financial integration. The analysis includes small open countries of Southeast Europe observed from 2005 to 2020, with relevant statistical data used for the total inflow and outflow of investments, the share of assets and liabilities in gross domestic product and the calculated value of the economic stability index. The analysis was made using the methods of correlation analysis and correlation test. The results show that there is a correlation between financial integration and the economic stability index in small open countries.
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开放小国经济稳定与金融一体化指数
近几十年来,我们目睹了资本流动自由化的先进进程,以及金融市场日益一体化和全球化的进程。随着全球化趋势的发展,自20世纪80年代末以来,由于消除了各国之间资本自由流动的障碍,金融一体化的进程也一直在进行。因此,本研究对开放小国的金融一体化进行了探讨,旨在得出这种一体化如何影响其经济稳定的结论。小国的定性定义指出,它们通常领土有限,人口相对较少,资源有限。研究假设为:开放小国的经济稳定指数受其金融一体化的制约。该分析包括2005年至2020年期间观察的东南欧开放小国,并使用相关统计数据用于投资流入和流出总额、资产和负债占国内生产总值(gdp)的比例以及经济稳定指数的计算值。采用相关分析和相关检验的方法进行分析。研究结果表明,开放小国的金融一体化与经济稳定指数之间存在相关性。
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