Financial Factors Explaining Value Migration: Evidence from Central Europe

J. Kubiak, Leszek Czapiewski, Joanna Lizińska
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Abstract

Abstract The objective of this article is to identify the relationship between financial factors and value migration on a yearly basis. The data cover nonfinancial firms listed on exchanges in Central European (CE) countries from 2016 to 2020. To evaluate the migration of value between industries, the share in the industry migration balance was estimated. Next, averages in three industry terciles, set on the basis of the change in market value added, were calculated and compared using both parametric and nonparametric tests. It allowed us to analyse the economic and statistical significance of the value drivers in the value migration process. The value migration in the largest Central European industries intensified during the COVID-19 crisis. The largest sectors were not negatively affected by the pandemic. It seems that, at least for some industries, there was a positive relationship between the growth of market value and sales profitability, sales growth, and cash levels. The market value drivers did not significantly change in the first year of the pandemic. This study contributes to the recent empirical literature on value changes and fills the gaps in the current research for the Central European region, during the time of the macroeconomic crisis induced by the COVID-19 pandemic. The conclusions on the value migration factors may be useful for investors in their decision-making process. Our results can also serve as a valuable reference for managers in the process of defining business strategies, especially during turbulent periods.
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解释价值移民的金融因素:来自中欧的证据
摘要本文的目的是在每年的基础上确定财务因素与价值迁移之间的关系。这些数据涵盖了2016年至2020年在中欧(CE)国家交易所上市的非金融公司。为了评估产业间的价值迁移,我们估算了产业迁移平衡中的份额。接下来,以市场增加值的变化为基础,计算三个行业的平均值,并使用参数检验和非参数检验进行比较。它使我们能够分析价值迁移过程中价值驱动因素的经济和统计意义。在2019冠状病毒病危机期间,中欧最大产业的价值迁移加剧。最大的部门没有受到大流行病的负面影响。至少在某些行业,市场价值的增长与销售盈利能力、销售增长和现金水平之间存在正相关关系。在大流行的第一年,市场价值驱动因素没有显著变化。本研究为近期关于价值变化的实证文献做出了贡献,填补了当前中欧地区在2019冠状病毒病大流行引发宏观经济危机期间研究的空白。研究结果对投资者的投资决策有一定的参考价值。我们的研究结果也可以为管理者在制定商业战略的过程中提供有价值的参考,特别是在动荡时期。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
期刊介绍: The Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (CEJEME) is a quarterly international journal. It aims to publish articles focusing on mathematical or statistical models in economic sciences. Papers covering the application of existing econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics, in particular in macroeconomics and finance are welcome. Advanced empirical studies devoted to modelling and forecasting of Central and Eastern European economies are of particular interest. Any rigorous methods of statistical inference can be used and articles representing Bayesian econometrics are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests.
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