Proposal of Evaluation Methodology of Multiple-Failure-Initiating Events for Seismic PRA

H. Muta, K. Muramatsu, Y. Kameko, H. Miura, K. Ogura, Tsuyoshi Uchida
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

the severe accident the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear power station, the regulation of nuclear plant safety in Japan was upgraded, and continuous effort to enhance risk management in the medium and long term is required. Seismic risk is important in Japan, and one of the major issues of current probabilistic risk assessment ( PRA ) methodology is the enhancement of seismic PRA including the evaluation of initiating events induced by simultaneous multiple failures of components and of subsequent accident sequences. The Nuclear Regulation Authority ( NRA ) addressed the issue as “…multiple-failure-initiating events should be considered.” In addition, the standard for the procedure of seismic PRA for nuclear power plants in 2015 identifies this issue in the same manner. This study proposes an enhanced seismic PRA methodology considering multiple-failure-initiating events that is expected to contribute to improving the safety of nuclear power plants. This study also discusses the issues that need more research for their resolution.
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地震PRA多失效启动事件评价方法的建议
福岛第一核电站严重事故后,日本核电站安全监管升级,需要持续加强中长期风险管理。地震风险在日本非常重要,当前概率风险评估(PRA)方法的主要问题之一是加强地震概率风险评估,包括评估由多个组件同时失效引起的启动事件和随后的事故序列。核管理委员会(NRA)将这个问题描述为“……应该考虑多重故障启动事件。”此外,2015年的核电站地震PRA程序标准也以同样的方式确定了这一问题。本研究提出了一种考虑多重故障启动事件的增强型地震PRA方法,有望有助于提高核电站的安全性。本研究还讨论了需要进一步研究以解决的问题。
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