Consumption of Electricity and Industrial Growth in the Case of Ghana

Eric Abokyi, P. Appiah-Konadu, Isaiah Sikayena, E. F. Oteng-Abayie
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引用次数: 45

Abstract

We examine the causative relationship amongst electricity consumption and industrial growth in Ghana for the period of 1971 to 2014. The results of the ARDL bounds test showed that long-run relationship exists among the variables. The error correction term was also significant and negatively signed providing further evidence of long-run relationship. Contrary to the widespread belief that electricity consumption spurs productivity, the study reveals that electricity consumption has a negative impact on manufacturing sector output in Ghana. This occurrence could be explained by the fact that whiles the average growth in electricity consumption in Ghana is positive, the share of industrial sector’s electricity consumption continues to decline on the average. The Toda-Yamamoto test shows a unidirectional causality running from electricity consumption to industrial growth in Ghana, supporting the growth hypothesis in the extant literature.
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以加纳为例的电力消费和工业增长
我们研究了1971年至2014年期间加纳电力消耗和工业增长之间的因果关系。ARDL边界检验结果表明,各变量之间存在长期关系。误差修正项也是显著的,负签名提供了长期关系的进一步证据。与普遍认为电力消耗会刺激生产力的观点相反,该研究表明,电力消耗对加纳制造业的产出有负面影响。这一现象可以用以下事实来解释:虽然加纳电力消费的平均增长是正的,但工业部门电力消费的份额平均继续下降。Toda-Yamamoto检验显示,从加纳的电力消费到工业增长存在单向因果关系,支持现有文献中的增长假设。
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13
审稿时长
28 weeks
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