How to use mistakes to improve credibility

Leon Østergaard
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Abstract

The article argues that errors in statistical publications should not be seen solely as a threat to the credibility of the statistical institution, but that they could, with careful handling, actually contribute to public confidence in the institution. Hiding errors or disguising them as “revisions” puts credibility at risk. The author calls for a policy for dealing with errors in statistical institutions. Errors should be identified and corrected figures published loud and clear as soon as possible. The policy must include systematic collection of information on the occurrence, causes and consequences of errors. This information should be used internally to prevent future errors, and published externally as part of the institutions quality declaration of statistics. Preliminary experience from Statistics Denmark seems to indicate that serious or minor errors occur in 1–2% of statistical publications.
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如何利用错误提高可信度
这篇文章认为,统计出版物中的错误不应该仅仅被视为对统计机构信誉的威胁,而是可以通过谨慎处理,实际上有助于提高公众对该机构的信心。隐藏错误或将其伪装成“修订”会使可信度面临风险。作者呼吁制定一项政策来处理统计机构的错误。错误应及时发现并改正,尽快清晰地公布数字。该政策必须包括系统地收集有关错误发生、原因和后果的信息。这些信息应在内部使用,以防止将来出现错误,并作为机构统计质量声明的一部分在外部发布。丹麦统计局的初步经验似乎表明,1-2%的统计出版物出现了严重或轻微的错误。
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