Influence of China's Population Mobility on the Change of Regional Disparity since 1978

Duan Pingzhong
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

In this study, an econometric model about population mobility and economic growth is used to show the unbalanced distribution of population mobility in different region was remarkably related to that of regional economic growth and the large number of movers had a significant influence on regional economic growth and developing disparity. On the basis of this study, we conclude that China's population mobility also had a significant influence on the structure and tendency of regional disparity, and the population mobility enlarged the regional disparity of the whole nation, the East, and the West since the reform, besides the Midst during 1978 to 1987. Furthermore, the population mobility accelerated the increase of regional disparity in the whole nation, the Midst, and the West, but at the same time, retarded that in the East in the period of 1996–2003.

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1978年以来中国人口流动对区域差异变化的影响
本文运用人口流动与经济增长的计量经济模型,发现不同区域人口流动的不平衡分布与区域经济增长的不平衡分布显著相关,大量人口流动对区域经济增长和发展差距有显著影响。在此基础上,我们得出结论:中国人口流动对区域差异的结构和趋势也有显著影响,1978 - 1987年期间,人口流动扩大了改革开放以来全国、东部和西部的区域差异,同时扩大了中部地区的区域差异。1996-2003年期间,人口流动加速了全国、中部和西部地区差距的扩大,同时减缓了东部地区差距的扩大。
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