Effect of Government Agricultural Expenditure on Economic Growth: Evidence from a Developing Country

E. Megbowon, Lerato Mothae, Joseph Rapholo Relebohile
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Abstract

Abstract Fiscal policy has been used by various governments to promote economic growth. The effectiveness of government expenditure on economic growth depends on recipient sector of government expenditure. This study contributes to this research area by investigating the effect of government agricultural expenditure on economic growth in the Kingdom of Lesotho. The government of Lesotho identified the agricultural sector as a productive sector that is central to the achievement the economic growth goal and development plan. Descriptive statistics and inferential econometric techniques (ARDL, DOLS and VEC Granger causality) over time-series data for the period 1982-2019 were utilized in this study. The results suggest that while current level and pattern of government agriculture expenditure cannot stimulate the desired economic growth and prosperity in the country, domestic investment appear to be a stimulant of the desired economic prosperity. Consequently, any economic growth policy or strategy that is premised on government agricultural sector expenditure would fail. Thus study recommends that countries including Lesotho should prioritize sustained increase in domestic investment.
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政府农业支出对经济增长的影响:来自一个发展中国家的证据
财政政策已被各国政府用来促进经济增长。政府支出对经济增长的有效性取决于政府支出的接收部门。本研究通过调查莱索托王国政府农业支出对经济增长的影响,为这一研究领域做出了贡献。莱索托政府将农业部门确定为实现经济增长目标和发展计划的核心生产部门。本研究利用了1982-2019年时间序列数据的描述性统计和推理计量经济学技术(ARDL、DOLS和VEC格兰杰因果关系)。结果表明,虽然目前政府农业支出的水平和模式不能刺激该国预期的经济增长和繁荣,但国内投资似乎是预期经济繁荣的刺激物。因此,任何以政府农业部门支出为前提的经济增长政策或战略都将失败。因此,研究建议包括莱索托在内的各国应优先考虑持续增加国内投资。
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