COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS BETWEEN TWO CASES OF RISK ASSESSMENT FOR E-BIKE CYCLING IN URBAN AREA

Silvia Baeva, Vasil A. Shterev, Nikolay Hinov
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Abstract

In this paper is presented comparative analysis between two cases of risk assessment for e-bike cycling in urban area. The input parameters taken into account in first case are the number of obstacles in each alternative branch of the route and in second case - the number of obstacles and road surface. Under obstacle in this study is considered any object that could either threaten the life of cyclist or present an obstacle in his way (potholes on the road or dangerous terrain, stray animals, hooligans, incompetent car drivers etc.). The researches is made as a stochastic problem with two stages. The first stage consists of a calculation of the average risk in each branch of the route. The input parameters are stochastic and discretized, preprocessed by statistic methodology. In the second stage the optimal route is found by application of the Bellman’s optimally principle.
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两例城市电动自行车骑行风险评价的比较分析
本文对两种城市电动自行车骑行风险评估案例进行了对比分析。在第一种情况下,考虑的输入参数是路线中每个可选分支中的障碍物数量,在第二种情况下,考虑的是障碍物和路面的数量。在本研究中,障碍物被认为是任何可能威胁骑自行车者生命或在他的道路上构成障碍的物体(道路上的坑洼或危险的地形,流浪动物,流氓,不称职的汽车司机等)。研究是一个分两个阶段的随机问题。第一阶段包括计算路线中每个分支的平均风险。输入参数是随机离散化的,采用统计方法进行预处理。在第二阶段,应用Bellman最优原理寻找最优路线。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
25 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal Mathematics and Its Applications is part of the Annals of the Academy of Romanian Scientists (ARS), in which several series are published. Although the Academy is almost one century old, due to the historical conditions after WW2 in Eastern Europe, it is just starting with 2006 that the Annals are published. The Editor-in-Chief of the Annals is the President of ARS, Prof. Dr. V. Candea and Academician A.E. Sandulescu (†) is his deputy for this domain. Mathematics and Its Applications invites publication of contributed papers, short notes, survey articles and reviews, with a novel and correct content, in any area of mathematics and its applications. Short notes are published with priority on the recommendation of one of the members of the Editorial Board and should be 3-6 pages long. They may not include proofs, but supplementary materials supporting all the statements are required and will be archivated. The authors are encouraged to publish the extended version of the short note, elsewhere. All received articles will be submitted to a blind peer review process. Mathematics and Its Applications has an Open Access policy: all content is freely available without charge to the user or his/her institution. Users are allowed to read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of the articles in this journal without asking prior permission from the publisher or the author. No submission or processing fees are required. Targeted topics include : Ordinary and partial differential equations Optimization, optimal control and design Numerical Analysis and scientific computing Algebraic, topological and differential structures Probability and statistics Algebraic and differential geometry Mathematical modelling in mechanics and engineering sciences Mathematical economy and game theory Mathematical physics and applications.
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