Recreation, Sport and an Aging Population

Steven R. Carney, H. Walker
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Abstract

America is getting older. The first of the Baby Boom Generation (those born from 1945 to 1964) – 76 million strong – reached the age of retirement in 2011. This mass of people, combined with longer lives and lower birth rates, is changing the demographics of the United States and impacting our society. Between now and 2029, the population over age 65 will increase from 13% of the population to 20%, growing at a rate 7 times faster than the rest of the population. This will not be a temporary shift. Long range estimates are for the percentage of the total population over the age of 65 to remain above 20% for the next 50 years. Dire forecasts are already being heard for the long-term sustainability of Social Security and Medicare and the impact on economic growth and businesses from the retirement of skilled workers. Beyond the workplace and healthcare, this shift will require sport organizations – both recreational and professional – to adjust in order to meet the needs and desires of this formidable market.
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娱乐、体育和人口老龄化
美国正在变老。婴儿潮一代(1945年至1964年出生的人)的第一代——7600万人——在2011年达到了退休年龄。大量的人口,加上更长的寿命和更低的出生率,正在改变美国的人口结构,影响着我们的社会。从现在到2029年,65岁以上人口将从占总人口的13%增加到20%,增长速度是其他人口的7倍。这不会是一个暂时的转变。长期估计,65岁以上人口在总人口中所占的比例在今后50年将保持在20%以上。关于社会保障和医疗保险的长期可持续性,以及技术工人退休对经济增长和企业的影响,人们已经听到了可怕的预测。除了工作场所和医疗保健,这种转变将要求体育组织——无论是娱乐的还是专业的——进行调整,以满足这个强大市场的需求和愿望。
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